Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.402.95safe0.58–2.520.55–2.261.13–4.78safer0.33–2.770.32–2.490.65–5.26
Shots on target
50%
13%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.894.369.25safe3.03–6.762.61–6.105.64–12.85safer2.54–7.252.15–6.564.69–13.81
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4312.5226.95safe10.50–18.358.96–16.0919.47–34.44safer9.41–19.448.00–17.0517.42–36.49
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction9.527.8217.33safe6.57–12.465.13–10.5011.71–22.96safer5.75–13.294.40–11.2310.14–24.52
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.943.517.45safe2.06–5.821.85–5.163.91–10.98safer1.51–6.371.36–5.652.88–12.02
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.404.6010.00safe3.18–7.612.60–6.605.78–14.21safer2.61–8.182.07–7.134.68–15.32
Possession %
33%
63%
homeawayprediction46.7653.23safe39.97–53.5546.45–60.02safer38.30–55.2244.78–61.69
Passes
31%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction423481904safe356–490415–548770–1038safer337–508397–565735–1073
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction83.4085.79safe79.37–87.4381.47–90.12safer78.08–88.7280.16–91.43
Fouls
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction13.109.7622.87safe10.26–15.946.82–12.7117.08–28.65safer9.51–16.696.07–13.4615.58–30.15
Offsides
29%
23%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.823.20safe0.22–2.540.73–2.910.95–5.45safer0.00–2.840.44–3.200.36–6.04
Yellow cards
44%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.713.68safe0.92–3.020.58–2.841.51–5.86safer0.66–3.290.29–3.130.95–6.42
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.260.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.003.356.35safe1.56–4.431.79–4.913.36–9.34safer1.17–4.821.37–5.332.54–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.58–2.52 0.33–2.77 | 1.40 0.55–2.26 0.32–2.49 | 2.95 1.13–4.78 0.65–5.26 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.89 3.03–6.76 2.54–7.25 | 4.36 2.61–6.10 2.15–6.56 | 9.25 5.64–12.85 4.69–13.81 | 50% 13% 37% |
| Total shots | 14.43 10.50–18.35 9.41–19.44 | 12.52 8.96–16.09 8.00–17.05 | 26.95 19.47–34.44 17.42–36.49 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 9.52 6.57–12.46 5.75–13.29 | 7.82 5.13–10.50 4.40–11.23 | 17.33 11.71–22.96 10.14–24.52 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 3.94 2.06–5.82 1.51–6.37 | 3.51 1.85–5.16 1.36–5.65 | 7.45 3.91–10.98 2.88–12.02 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.40 3.18–7.61 2.61–8.18 | 4.60 2.60–6.60 2.07–7.13 | 10.00 5.78–14.21 4.68–15.32 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 46.76 39.97–53.55 38.30–55.22 | 53.23 46.45–60.02 44.78–61.69 | — | 33% 63% |
| Passes | 423 356–490 337–508 | 481 415–548 397–565 | 904 770–1038 735–1073 | 31% 69% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.40 79.37–87.43 78.08–88.72 | 85.79 81.47–90.12 80.16–91.43 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 13.10 10.26–15.94 9.51–16.69 | 9.76 6.82–12.71 6.07–13.46 | 22.87 17.08–28.65 15.58–30.15 | 72% 21% |
| Offsides | 1.38 0.22–2.54 0.00–2.84 | 1.82 0.73–2.91 0.44–3.20 | 3.20 0.95–5.45 0.36–6.04 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.66–3.29 | 1.71 0.58–2.84 0.29–3.13 | 3.68 1.51–5.86 0.95–6.42 | 44% 21% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.00 1.56–4.43 1.17–4.82 | 3.35 1.79–4.91 1.37–5.33 | 6.35 3.36–9.34 2.54–10.15 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+