Predicted match statistics
Goals
13%
18%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction0.912.293.20safe0.00–1.871.44–3.141.37–5.02safer0.00–2.131.21–3.370.89–5.50
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction3.226.189.40safe1.36–5.084.43–7.925.79–13.00safer0.87–5.573.97–8.394.84–13.96
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction9.0515.8724.92safe5.13–12.9712.31–19.4417.44–32.41safer4.03–14.0711.35–20.3915.38–34.46
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction5.1010.5915.69safe2.16–8.047.91–13.2710.07–21.32safer1.33–8.877.17–14.018.50–22.88
Blocked shots
17%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.163.956.11safe0.27–4.042.30–5.612.58–9.65safer0.00–4.581.81–6.101.54–10.68
Corners
17%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction3.135.378.51safe0.92–5.353.37–7.374.30–12.72safer0.35–5.922.84–7.913.19–13.83
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction38.9260.78safe32.13–45.7154.00–67.57safer30.46–47.3852.33–69.24
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction378576954safe311–446509–642820–1088safer293–464492–660785–1123
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction81.7089.60safe77.67–85.7385.28–93.93safer76.38–87.0283.97–95.23
Fouls
56%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0310.7522.77safe9.19–14.867.80–13.6916.99–28.56safer8.43–15.627.05–14.4415.49–30.06
Offsides
53%
18%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.661.954.61safe1.50–3.820.86–3.042.35–6.86safer1.20–4.120.57–3.331.76–7.45
Yellow cards
51%
20%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.321.734.05safe1.27–3.370.60–2.861.88–6.23safer1.01–3.640.31–3.151.32–6.79
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.080.23safe0.00–0.310.00–0.270.00–0.58safer0.00–0.460.00–0.400.00–0.86
GK saves
67%
14%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.902.326.21safe2.46–5.330.76–3.873.22–9.21safer2.07–5.720.34–4.302.41–10.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.91 0.00–1.87 0.00–2.13 | 2.29 1.44–3.14 1.21–3.37 | 3.20 1.37–5.02 0.89–5.50 | 13% 18% 68% |
| Shots on target | 3.22 1.36–5.08 0.87–5.57 | 6.18 4.43–7.92 3.97–8.39 | 9.40 5.79–13.00 4.84–13.96 | 79% |
| Total shots | 9.05 5.13–12.97 4.03–14.07 | 15.87 12.31–19.44 11.35–20.39 | 24.92 17.44–32.41 15.38–34.46 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 5.10 2.16–8.04 1.33–8.87 | 10.59 7.91–13.27 7.17–14.01 | 15.69 10.07–21.32 8.50–22.88 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 2.16 0.27–4.04 0.00–4.58 | 3.95 2.30–5.61 1.81–6.10 | 6.11 2.58–9.65 1.54–10.68 | 17% 70% |
| Corners | 3.13 0.92–5.35 0.35–5.92 | 5.37 3.37–7.37 2.84–7.91 | 8.51 4.30–12.72 3.19–13.83 | 17% 72% |
| Possession % | 38.92 32.13–45.71 30.46–47.38 | 60.78 54.00–67.57 52.33–69.24 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 378 311–446 293–464 | 576 509–642 492–660 | 954 820–1088 785–1123 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.70 77.67–85.73 76.38–87.02 | 89.60 85.28–93.93 83.97–95.23 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 12.03 9.19–14.86 8.43–15.62 | 10.75 7.80–13.69 7.05–14.44 | 22.77 16.99–28.56 15.49–30.06 | 56% 35% |
| Offsides | 2.66 1.50–3.82 1.20–4.12 | 1.95 0.86–3.04 0.57–3.33 | 4.61 2.35–6.86 1.76–7.45 | 53% 18% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 2.32 1.27–3.37 1.01–3.64 | 1.73 0.60–2.86 0.31–3.15 | 4.05 1.88–6.23 1.32–6.79 | 51% 20% 29% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.90 2.46–5.33 2.07–5.72 | 2.32 0.76–3.87 0.34–4.30 | 6.21 3.22–9.21 2.41–10.02 | 67% 14% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.