Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
19%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.270.963.23safe1.30–3.240.11–1.821.41–5.05safer1.05–3.490.00–2.050.93–5.53
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.153.3510.50safe5.29–9.011.61–5.106.90–14.11safer4.80–9.501.15–5.565.94–15.06
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction20.539.2029.73safe16.61–24.465.63–12.7622.24–37.22safer15.52–25.554.67–13.7220.19–39.27
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction12.616.6119.22safe9.67–15.553.93–9.2913.60–24.85safer8.84–16.383.19–10.0312.03–26.41
Blocked shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction5.882.248.12safe4.00–7.770.59–3.894.59–11.66safer3.46–8.310.10–4.393.55–12.70
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.623.5311.14safe5.40–9.831.53–5.536.93–15.35safer4.83–10.400.99–6.065.82–16.46
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction66.9633.45safe60.17–73.7526.67–40.24safer58.50–75.4225.00–41.91
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction610310920safe542–677244–376786–1053safer524–695226–394750–1089
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction85.4269.40safe81.39–89.4565.08–73.73safer80.10–90.7463.77–75.04
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1411.2422.38safe8.31–13.988.29–14.1816.60–28.17safer7.55–14.747.55–14.9315.10–29.67
Offsides
24%
16%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.013.105.12safe0.85–3.172.01–4.202.86–7.37safer0.55–3.471.72–4.492.27–7.96
Yellow cards
30%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.582.033.61safe0.54–2.630.90–3.151.43–5.79safer0.27–2.900.61–3.450.87–6.35
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.244.957.19safe0.81–3.683.39–6.514.20–10.18safer0.42–4.072.97–6.933.39–11.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.27 1.30–3.24 1.05–3.49 | 0.96 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 3.23 1.41–5.05 0.93–5.53 | 67% 19% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.15 5.29–9.01 4.80–9.50 | 3.35 1.61–5.10 1.15–5.56 | 10.50 6.90–14.11 5.94–15.06 | 85% |
| Total shots | 20.53 16.61–24.46 15.52–25.55 | 9.20 5.63–12.76 4.67–13.72 | 29.73 22.24–37.22 20.19–39.27 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 12.61 9.67–15.55 8.84–16.38 | 6.61 3.93–9.29 3.19–10.03 | 19.22 13.60–24.85 12.03–26.41 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 5.88 4.00–7.77 3.46–8.31 | 2.24 0.59–3.89 0.10–4.39 | 8.12 4.59–11.66 3.55–12.70 | 87% |
| Corners | 7.62 5.40–9.83 4.83–10.40 | 3.53 1.53–5.53 0.99–6.06 | 11.14 6.93–15.35 5.82–16.46 | 86% |
| Possession % | 66.96 60.17–73.75 58.50–75.42 | 33.45 26.67–40.24 25.00–41.91 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 610 542–677 524–695 | 310 244–376 226–394 | 920 786–1053 750–1089 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.42 81.39–89.45 80.10–90.74 | 69.40 65.08–73.73 63.77–75.04 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 11.14 8.31–13.98 7.55–14.74 | 11.24 8.29–14.18 7.55–14.93 | 22.38 16.60–28.17 15.10–29.67 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 2.01 0.85–3.17 0.55–3.47 | 3.10 2.01–4.20 1.72–4.49 | 5.12 2.86–7.37 2.27–7.96 | 24% 16% 60% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.54–2.63 0.27–2.90 | 2.03 0.90–3.15 0.61–3.45 | 3.61 1.43–5.79 0.87–6.35 | 30% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.24 0.81–3.68 0.42–4.07 | 4.95 3.39–6.51 2.97–6.93 | 7.19 4.20–10.18 3.39–11.00 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+