Predicted match statistics
Goals
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.910.823.73safe1.94–3.880.00–1.671.91–5.55safer1.69–4.130.00–1.901.43–6.03
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction7.752.7010.45safe5.89–9.610.96–4.446.85–14.06safer5.40–10.100.49–4.915.89–15.01
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction22.498.6531.15safe18.57–26.425.09–12.2123.66–38.63safer17.48–27.514.13–13.1721.61–40.68
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction14.025.1119.13safe11.08–16.962.43–7.7913.51–24.75safer10.25–17.791.69–8.5311.94–26.32
Blocked shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction5.712.358.06safe3.83–7.590.69–4.004.52–11.59safer3.28–8.130.20–4.493.48–12.63
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.762.9910.75safe5.55–9.970.99–4.996.53–14.96safer4.97–10.550.45–5.525.43–16.07
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction63.1336.88safe56.34–69.9230.10–43.67safer54.67–71.5928.43–45.34
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction569311880safe502–637245–377747–1014safer484–655227–395711–1050
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction81.7772.13safe77.74–85.8067.81–76.46safer76.45–87.0966.50–77.77
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0011.5822.58safe8.16–13.838.64–14.5316.80–28.36safer7.40–14.597.89–15.2815.29–29.87
Offsides
48%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.252.97safe0.56–2.880.16–2.350.72–5.23safer0.26–3.180.00–2.640.13–5.82
Yellow cards
25%
23%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.823.03safe0.16–2.260.69–2.950.85–5.21safer0.00–2.530.40–3.240.30–5.77
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
83%
homeawaytotalprediction1.944.946.88safe0.51–3.383.38–6.503.89–9.88safer0.12–3.772.96–6.923.08–10.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.91 1.94–3.88 1.69–4.13 | 0.82 0.00–1.67 0.00–1.90 | 3.73 1.91–5.55 1.43–6.03 | 80% |
| Shots on target | 7.75 5.89–9.61 5.40–10.10 | 2.70 0.96–4.44 0.49–4.91 | 10.45 6.85–14.06 5.89–15.01 | 93% |
| Total shots | 22.49 18.57–26.42 17.48–27.51 | 8.65 5.09–12.21 4.13–13.17 | 31.15 23.66–38.63 21.61–40.68 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.02 11.08–16.96 10.25–17.79 | 5.11 2.43–7.79 1.69–8.53 | 19.13 13.51–24.75 11.94–26.32 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.71 3.83–7.59 3.28–8.13 | 2.35 0.69–4.00 0.20–4.49 | 8.06 4.52–11.59 3.48–12.63 | 85% |
| Corners | 7.76 5.55–9.97 4.97–10.55 | 2.99 0.99–4.99 0.45–5.52 | 10.75 6.53–14.96 5.43–16.07 | 91% |
| Possession % | 63.13 56.34–69.92 54.67–71.59 | 36.88 30.10–43.67 28.43–45.34 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 569 502–637 484–655 | 311 245–377 227–395 | 880 747–1014 711–1050 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.77 77.74–85.80 76.45–87.09 | 72.13 67.81–76.46 66.50–77.77 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.00 8.16–13.83 7.40–14.59 | 11.58 8.64–14.53 7.89–15.28 | 22.58 16.80–28.36 15.29–29.87 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 1.25 0.16–2.35 0.00–2.64 | 2.97 0.72–5.23 0.13–5.82 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.21 0.16–2.26 0.00–2.53 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.03 0.85–5.21 0.30–5.77 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 1.94 0.51–3.38 0.12–3.77 | 4.94 3.38–6.50 2.96–6.92 | 6.88 3.89–9.88 3.08–10.69 | 83% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.