Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.633.09safe0.48–2.420.78–2.491.26–4.91safer0.23–2.670.55–2.720.78–5.39
Shots on target
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction5.015.3210.33safe3.15–6.883.58–7.066.73–13.94safer2.66–7.363.11–7.535.77–14.89
Total shots
46%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2914.3528.64safe10.36–18.2110.79–17.9121.15–36.13safer9.27–19.309.83–18.8719.10–38.18
Shots in box
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction9.779.0418.81safe6.83–12.716.36–11.7213.18–24.43safer6.00–13.545.62–12.4611.62–26.00
Blocked shots
46%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.953.697.63safe2.06–5.832.03–5.344.10–11.17safer1.52–6.371.54–5.833.06–12.20
Corners
51%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.675.0910.76safe3.46–7.893.09–7.096.55–14.97safer2.89–8.462.55–7.625.44–16.08
Possession %
42%
54%
homeawayprediction48.9351.50safe42.14–55.7244.72–58.29safer40.47–57.3943.04–59.96
Passes
45%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4955101005safe428–562444–577872–1139safer410–580426–594836–1175
Pass accuracy %
25%
70%
homeawayprediction79.8184.49safe75.78–83.8480.16–88.81safer74.49–85.1378.85–90.12
Fouls
56%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction10.689.4720.16safe7.85–13.526.53–12.4214.37–25.94safer7.09–14.285.78–13.1712.87–27.44
Offsides
66%
18%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.501.203.70safe1.34–3.660.11–2.301.45–5.95safer1.04–3.960.00–2.590.86–6.54
Yellow cards
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.332.92safe0.55–2.650.20–2.450.75–5.10safer0.28–2.910.00–2.750.19–5.66
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.060.14safe0.00–0.240.00–0.250.00–0.48safer0.00–0.390.00–0.380.00–0.77
GK saves
40%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.193.306.49safe1.76–4.631.74–4.863.50–9.48safer1.37–5.021.32–5.282.69–10.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.45 0.48–2.42 0.23–2.67 | 1.63 0.78–2.49 0.55–2.72 | 3.09 1.26–4.91 0.78–5.39 | 34% 24% 42% |
| Shots on target | 5.01 3.15–6.88 2.66–7.36 | 5.32 3.58–7.06 3.11–7.53 | 10.33 6.73–13.94 5.77–14.89 | 40% 47% |
| Total shots | 14.29 10.36–18.21 9.27–19.30 | 14.35 10.79–17.91 9.83–18.87 | 28.64 21.15–36.13 19.10–38.18 | 46% 47% |
| Shots in box | 9.77 6.83–12.71 6.00–13.54 | 9.04 6.36–11.72 5.62–12.46 | 18.81 13.18–24.43 11.62–26.00 | 52% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 3.95 2.06–5.83 1.52–6.37 | 3.69 2.03–5.34 1.54–5.83 | 7.63 4.10–11.17 3.06–12.20 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 5.67 3.46–7.89 2.89–8.46 | 5.09 3.09–7.09 2.55–7.62 | 10.76 6.55–14.97 5.44–16.08 | 51% 37% |
| Possession % | 48.93 42.14–55.72 40.47–57.39 | 51.50 44.72–58.29 43.04–59.96 | — | 42% 54% |
| Passes | 495 428–562 410–580 | 510 444–577 426–594 | 1005 872–1139 836–1175 | 45% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.81 75.78–83.84 74.49–85.13 | 84.49 80.16–88.81 78.85–90.12 | — | 25% 70% |
| Fouls | 10.68 7.85–13.52 7.09–14.28 | 9.47 6.53–12.42 5.78–13.17 | 20.16 14.37–25.94 12.87–27.44 | 56% 35% |
| Offsides | 2.50 1.34–3.66 1.04–3.96 | 1.20 0.11–2.30 0.00–2.59 | 3.70 1.45–5.95 0.86–6.54 | 66% 18% 17% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.28–2.91 | 1.33 0.20–2.45 0.00–2.75 | 2.92 0.75–5.10 0.19–5.66 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.19 1.76–4.63 1.37–5.02 | 3.30 1.74–4.86 1.32–5.28 | 6.49 3.50–9.48 2.69–10.30 | 40% 16% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+