Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
18%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.252.473.71safe0.28–2.211.61–3.321.89–5.54safer0.03–2.461.39–3.551.41–6.02
Shots on target
13%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction4.047.2311.26safe2.17–5.905.49–8.977.66–14.87safer1.68–6.395.02–9.446.70–15.82
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2718.6630.93safe8.35–16.2015.10–22.2223.45–38.42safer7.26–17.2914.14–23.1821.39–40.47
Shots in box
14%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction7.7012.0419.74safe4.76–10.659.36–14.7214.12–25.36safer3.93–11.488.62–15.4512.55–26.93
Blocked shots
21%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction3.345.148.48safe1.46–5.233.49–6.794.95–12.02safer0.92–5.772.99–7.283.91–13.05
Corners
22%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction4.276.2110.48safe2.05–6.484.21–8.216.26–14.69safer1.48–7.053.68–8.745.16–15.80
Possession %
84%
homeawayprediction41.4359.60safe34.64–48.2252.81–66.38safer32.97–49.8951.14–68.06
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction408571980safe341–476505–638846–1113safer323–494487–655810–1149
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction84.2389.47safe80.20–88.2685.14–93.79safer78.91–89.5583.83–95.10
Fouls
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7012.0321.73safe6.86–12.549.08–14.9715.94–27.51safer6.11–13.298.33–15.7214.44–29.01
Offsides
55%
20%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.241.463.70safe1.08–3.400.36–2.551.45–5.95safer0.78–3.710.07–2.840.86–6.54
Yellow cards
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.472.93safe0.41–2.510.34–2.600.75–5.11safer0.14–2.770.05–2.890.19–5.66
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.442.717.15safe3.01–5.881.15–4.274.16–10.15safer2.62–6.270.73–4.693.35–10.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.21 0.03–2.46 | 2.47 1.61–3.32 1.39–3.55 | 3.71 1.89–5.54 1.41–6.02 | 18% 18% 64% |
| Shots on target | 4.04 2.17–5.90 1.68–6.39 | 7.23 5.49–8.97 5.02–9.44 | 11.26 7.66–14.87 6.70–15.82 | 13% 79% |
| Total shots | 12.27 8.35–16.20 7.26–17.29 | 18.66 15.10–22.22 14.14–23.18 | 30.93 23.45–38.42 21.39–40.47 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 7.70 4.76–10.65 3.93–11.48 | 12.04 9.36–14.72 8.62–15.45 | 19.74 14.12–25.36 12.55–26.93 | 14% 81% |
| Blocked shots | 3.34 1.46–5.23 0.92–5.77 | 5.14 3.49–6.79 2.99–7.28 | 8.48 4.95–12.02 3.91–13.05 | 21% 67% |
| Corners | 4.27 2.05–6.48 1.48–7.05 | 6.21 4.21–8.21 3.68–8.74 | 10.48 6.26–14.69 5.16–15.80 | 22% 67% |
| Possession % | 41.43 34.64–48.22 32.97–49.89 | 59.60 52.81–66.38 51.14–68.06 | — | 84% |
| Passes | 408 341–476 323–494 | 571 505–638 487–655 | 980 846–1113 810–1149 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.23 80.20–88.26 78.91–89.55 | 89.47 85.14–93.79 83.83–95.10 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 9.70 6.86–12.54 6.11–13.29 | 12.03 9.08–14.97 8.33–15.72 | 21.73 15.94–27.51 14.44–29.01 | 27% 65% |
| Offsides | 2.24 1.08–3.40 0.78–3.71 | 1.46 0.36–2.55 0.07–2.84 | 3.70 1.45–5.95 0.86–6.54 | 55% 20% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.46 0.41–2.51 0.14–2.77 | 1.47 0.34–2.60 0.05–2.89 | 2.93 0.75–5.11 0.19–5.66 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 4.44 3.01–5.88 2.62–6.27 | 2.71 1.15–4.27 0.73–4.69 | 7.15 4.16–10.15 3.35–10.96 | 68% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.