Eredivisie·Regular Season - 13·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
86%
homeawaytotalprediction3.300.704.00safe2.33–4.270.00–1.552.17–5.82safer2.08–4.520.00–1.781.69–6.30
Shots on target
95%
homeawaytotalprediction8.652.7911.44safe6.79–10.511.04–4.537.83–15.04safer6.30–11.000.58–4.996.88–16.00
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.767.8929.65safe17.83–25.684.33–11.4522.16–37.14safer16.74–26.773.37–12.4120.11–39.19
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction14.005.1219.12safe11.05–16.942.44–7.8013.50–24.74safer10.23–17.771.70–8.5411.93–26.31
Blocked shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.582.117.69safe3.70–7.470.46–3.764.16–11.23safer3.16–8.010.00–4.253.12–12.26
Corners
96%
homeawaytotalprediction8.972.6011.57safe6.76–11.190.60–4.607.36–15.78safer6.19–11.760.06–5.136.25–16.89
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction66.1133.73safe59.32–72.9026.94–40.51safer57.65–74.5725.27–42.18
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction667326993safe600–734260–393859–1127safer581–752242–410824–1162
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction80.5167.58safe76.49–84.5463.25–71.90safer75.19–85.8461.94–73.21
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction8.8011.3820.18safe5.96–11.648.43–14.3214.40–25.96safer5.20–12.397.69–15.0712.89–27.46
Offsides
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.743.69safe0.79–3.110.65–2.831.44–5.94safer0.49–3.410.36–3.120.85–6.53
Yellow cards
17%
22%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction0.921.942.85safe0.00–1.970.81–3.060.68–5.03safer0.00–2.230.52–3.360.12–5.59
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.030.110.14safe0.00–0.190.00–0.300.00–0.49safer0.00–0.340.00–0.430.00–0.77
GK saves
85%
homeawaytotalprediction2.075.357.42safe0.63–3.503.80–6.914.43–10.41safer0.24–3.893.37–7.343.62–11.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.30 2.33–4.27 2.08–4.52 | 0.70 0.00–1.55 0.00–1.78 | 4.00 2.17–5.82 1.69–6.30 | 86% |
| Shots on target | 8.65 6.79–10.51 6.30–11.00 | 2.79 1.04–4.53 0.58–4.99 | 11.44 7.83–15.04 6.88–16.00 | 95% |
| Total shots | 21.76 17.83–25.68 16.74–26.77 | 7.89 4.33–11.45 3.37–12.41 | 29.65 22.16–37.14 20.11–39.19 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.00 11.05–16.94 10.23–17.77 | 5.12 2.44–7.80 1.70–8.54 | 19.12 13.50–24.74 11.93–26.31 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.58 3.70–7.47 3.16–8.01 | 2.11 0.46–3.76 0.00–4.25 | 7.69 4.16–11.23 3.12–12.26 | 86% |
| Corners | 8.97 6.76–11.19 6.19–11.76 | 2.60 0.60–4.60 0.06–5.13 | 11.57 7.36–15.78 6.25–16.89 | 96% |
| Possession % | 66.11 59.32–72.90 57.65–74.57 | 33.73 26.94–40.51 25.27–42.18 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 667 600–734 581–752 | 326 260–393 242–410 | 993 859–1127 824–1162 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.51 76.49–84.54 75.19–85.84 | 67.58 63.25–71.90 61.94–73.21 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 8.80 5.96–11.64 5.20–12.39 | 11.38 8.43–14.32 7.69–15.07 | 20.18 14.40–25.96 12.89–27.46 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.95 0.79–3.11 0.49–3.41 | 1.74 0.65–2.83 0.36–3.12 | 3.69 1.44–5.94 0.85–6.53 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 0.92 0.00–1.97 0.00–2.23 | 1.94 0.81–3.06 0.52–3.36 | 2.85 0.68–5.03 0.12–5.59 | 17% 22% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.03 0.00–0.19 0.00–0.34 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.07 0.63–3.50 0.24–3.89 | 5.35 3.80–6.91 3.37–7.34 | 7.42 4.43–10.41 3.62–11.23 | 85% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.