Predicted match statistics
Goals
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.560.823.38safe1.59–3.530.00–1.671.55–5.20safer1.34–3.780.00–1.901.07–5.68
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.233.1110.33safe5.36–9.091.36–4.856.73–13.94safer4.87–9.580.90–5.315.77–14.89
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction19.898.7128.60safe15.96–23.815.15–12.2721.11–36.09safer14.87–24.914.19–13.2319.06–38.14
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction14.115.4119.51safe11.16–17.052.73–8.0913.89–25.14safer10.33–17.881.99–8.8312.32–26.70
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.172.437.60safe3.29–7.050.78–4.084.06–11.13safer2.74–7.590.29–4.583.03–12.17
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.283.5010.78safe5.07–9.501.50–5.506.57–15.00safer4.50–10.070.97–6.045.46–16.11
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.4538.15safe55.66–69.2431.37–44.94safer53.99–70.9129.69–46.61
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction601350951safe534–668283–416817–1085safer516–686266–434782–1120
Pass accuracy %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction73.4567.08safe69.42–77.4862.75–71.40safer68.13–78.7761.45–72.71
Fouls
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction9.3711.5620.93safe6.54–12.218.61–14.5015.15–26.71safer5.78–12.977.87–15.2513.64–28.22
Offsides
52%
22%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.383.38safe0.84–3.160.28–2.471.12–5.63safer0.54–3.460.00–2.760.53–6.22
Yellow cards
21%
24%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction0.951.682.62safe0.00–2.000.55–2.810.45–4.80safer0.00–2.260.26–3.100.00–5.36
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
13%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.284.656.93safe0.84–3.713.10–6.213.94–9.92safer0.45–4.102.67–6.643.13–10.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.56 1.59–3.53 1.34–3.78 | 0.82 0.00–1.67 0.00–1.90 | 3.38 1.55–5.20 1.07–5.68 | 75% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.23 5.36–9.09 4.87–9.58 | 3.11 1.36–4.85 0.90–5.31 | 10.33 6.73–13.94 5.77–14.89 | 87% |
| Total shots | 19.89 15.96–23.81 14.87–24.91 | 8.71 5.15–12.27 4.19–13.23 | 28.60 21.11–36.09 19.06–38.14 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 14.11 11.16–17.05 10.33–17.88 | 5.41 2.73–8.09 1.99–8.83 | 19.51 13.89–25.14 12.32–26.70 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.17 3.29–7.05 2.74–7.59 | 2.43 0.78–4.08 0.29–4.58 | 7.60 4.06–11.13 3.03–12.17 | 79% |
| Corners | 7.28 5.07–9.50 4.50–10.07 | 3.50 1.50–5.50 0.97–6.04 | 10.78 6.57–15.00 5.46–16.11 | 84% |
| Possession % | 62.45 55.66–69.24 53.99–70.91 | 38.15 31.37–44.94 29.69–46.61 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 601 534–668 516–686 | 350 283–416 266–434 | 951 817–1085 782–1120 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.45 69.42–77.48 68.13–78.77 | 67.08 62.75–71.40 61.45–72.71 | — | 78% 19% |
| Fouls | 9.37 6.54–12.21 5.78–12.97 | 11.56 8.61–14.50 7.87–15.25 | 20.93 15.15–26.71 13.64–28.22 | 28% 64% |
| Offsides | 2.00 0.84–3.16 0.54–3.46 | 1.38 0.28–2.47 0.00–2.76 | 3.38 1.12–5.63 0.53–6.22 | 52% 22% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 0.95 0.00–2.00 0.00–2.26 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 2.62 0.45–4.80 0.00–5.36 | 21% 24% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.28 0.84–3.71 0.45–4.10 | 4.65 3.10–6.21 2.67–6.64 | 6.93 3.94–9.92 3.13–10.73 | 13% 76% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.