Eredivisie·Regular Season - 13·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
21%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.033.03safe1.03–2.970.18–1.891.21–4.85safer0.78–3.220.00–2.120.73–5.33
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.043.789.82safe4.18–7.902.04–5.526.21–13.42safer3.69–8.391.57–5.995.26–14.38
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction17.4511.5429.00safe13.53–21.387.98–15.1121.51–36.48safer12.44–22.477.02–16.0719.46–38.53
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction12.586.9919.57safe9.64–15.524.31–9.6713.95–25.19safer8.81–16.353.57–10.4112.38–26.76
Blocked shots
56%
13%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.723.778.50safe2.84–6.612.12–5.434.96–12.03safer2.30–7.151.63–5.923.93–13.07
Corners
76%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.864.0710.93safe4.65–9.082.07–6.076.72–15.15safer4.08–9.651.54–6.605.61–16.25
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.0245.24safe48.23–61.8138.46–52.03safer46.56–63.4836.78–53.70
Passes
72%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction492421913safe424–559355–488779–1047safer406–577337–505744–1082
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction71.1970.92safe67.16–75.2266.60–75.24safer65.87–76.5165.29–76.55
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1910.4820.67safe7.36–13.037.53–13.4214.89–26.45safer6.60–13.796.78–14.1713.38–27.96
Offsides
51%
23%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.202.97safe0.61–2.930.10–2.290.71–5.22safer0.31–3.230.00–2.580.12–5.81
Yellow cards
27%
23%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.773.00safe0.19–2.280.64–2.900.82–5.18safer0.00–2.550.35–3.190.27–5.74
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
21%
13%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.544.106.64safe1.10–3.972.55–5.663.65–9.63safer0.71–4.362.12–6.082.84–10.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.00 1.03–2.97 0.78–3.22 | 1.03 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 3.03 1.21–4.85 0.73–5.33 | 60% 21% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.04 4.18–7.90 3.69–8.39 | 3.78 2.04–5.52 1.57–5.99 | 9.82 6.21–13.42 5.26–14.38 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 17.45 13.53–21.38 12.44–22.47 | 11.54 7.98–15.11 7.02–16.07 | 29.00 21.51–36.48 19.46–38.53 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 12.58 9.64–15.52 8.81–16.35 | 6.99 4.31–9.67 3.57–10.41 | 19.57 13.95–25.19 12.38–26.76 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 4.72 2.84–6.61 2.30–7.15 | 3.77 2.12–5.43 1.63–5.92 | 8.50 4.96–12.03 3.93–13.07 | 56% 13% 31% |
| Corners | 6.86 4.65–9.08 4.08–9.65 | 4.07 2.07–6.07 1.54–6.60 | 10.93 6.72–15.15 5.61–16.25 | 76% 16% |
| Possession % | 55.02 48.23–61.81 46.56–63.48 | 45.24 38.46–52.03 36.78–53.70 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 492 424–559 406–577 | 421 355–488 337–505 | 913 779–1047 744–1082 | 72% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.19 67.16–75.22 65.87–76.51 | 70.92 66.60–75.24 65.29–76.55 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 10.19 7.36–13.03 6.60–13.79 | 10.48 7.53–13.42 6.78–14.17 | 20.67 14.89–26.45 13.38–27.96 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.23 | 1.20 0.10–2.29 0.00–2.58 | 2.97 0.71–5.22 0.12–5.81 | 51% 23% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.23 0.19–2.28 0.00–2.55 | 1.77 0.64–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 3.00 0.82–5.18 0.27–5.74 | 27% 23% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.54 1.10–3.97 0.71–4.36 | 4.10 2.55–5.66 2.12–6.08 | 6.64 3.65–9.63 2.84–10.45 | 21% 13% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.