Eredivisie·Regular Season - 13·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.643.03safe0.43–2.360.78–2.491.21–4.85safer0.18–2.610.55–2.720.73–5.33
Shots on target
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.885.1710.05safe3.02–6.743.43–6.916.44–13.65safer2.53–7.232.96–7.385.49–14.61
Total shots
54%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2614.2629.52safe11.33–19.1810.70–17.8222.03–37.01safer10.24–20.279.74–18.7819.98–39.06
Shots in box
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction9.419.7819.19safe6.46–12.357.10–12.4613.56–24.81safer5.63–13.186.36–13.2012.00–26.38
Blocked shots
45%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.404.308.70safe2.52–6.292.65–5.955.17–12.24safer1.98–6.832.15–6.444.13–13.27
Corners
43%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction5.245.3410.57safe3.02–7.453.34–7.346.36–14.79safer2.45–8.022.80–7.875.25–15.89
Possession %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction48.4251.98safe41.63–55.2145.20–58.77safer39.96–56.8843.52–60.44
Passes
37%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction416456872safe349–483390–523738–1006safer330–501372–540702–1041
Pass accuracy %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction69.0775.75safe65.04–73.1071.42–80.07safer63.75–74.3970.12–81.38
Fouls
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6911.2720.96safe6.85–12.538.32–14.2115.18–26.74safer6.10–13.297.57–14.9613.67–28.25
Offsides
50%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.192.91safe0.56–2.880.10–2.290.66–5.16safer0.25–3.180.00–2.580.07–5.75
Yellow cards
29%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.743.06safe0.28–2.370.61–2.870.88–5.24safer0.01–2.640.32–3.160.33–5.80
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
37%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.393.737.13safe1.96–4.832.18–5.294.13–10.12safer1.57–5.221.75–5.713.32–10.93
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.43–2.36 0.18–2.61 | 1.64 0.78–2.49 0.55–2.72 | 3.03 1.21–4.85 0.73–5.33 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.88 3.02–6.74 2.53–7.23 | 5.17 3.43–6.91 2.96–7.38 | 10.05 6.44–13.65 5.49–14.61 | 40% 47% |
| Total shots | 15.26 11.33–19.18 10.24–20.27 | 14.26 10.70–17.82 9.74–18.78 | 29.52 22.03–37.01 19.98–39.06 | 54% 39% |
| Shots in box | 9.41 6.46–12.35 5.63–13.18 | 9.78 7.10–12.46 6.36–13.20 | 19.19 13.56–24.81 12.00–26.38 | 42% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 4.40 2.52–6.29 1.98–6.83 | 4.30 2.65–5.95 2.15–6.44 | 8.70 5.17–12.24 4.13–13.27 | 45% 14% 42% |
| Corners | 5.24 3.02–7.45 2.45–8.02 | 5.34 3.34–7.34 2.80–7.87 | 10.57 6.36–14.79 5.25–15.89 | 43% 45% |
| Possession % | 48.42 41.63–55.21 39.96–56.88 | 51.98 45.20–58.77 43.52–60.44 | — | 39% 56% |
| Passes | 416 349–483 330–501 | 456 390–523 372–540 | 872 738–1006 702–1041 | 37% 63% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.07 65.04–73.10 63.75–74.39 | 75.75 71.42–80.07 70.12–81.38 | — | 18% 79% |
| Fouls | 9.69 6.85–12.53 6.10–13.29 | 11.27 8.32–14.21 7.57–14.96 | 20.96 15.18–26.74 13.67–28.25 | 32% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.25–3.18 | 1.19 0.10–2.29 0.00–2.58 | 2.91 0.66–5.16 0.07–5.75 | 50% 24% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.32 0.28–2.37 0.01–2.64 | 1.74 0.61–2.87 0.32–3.16 | 3.06 0.88–5.24 0.33–5.80 | 29% 23% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.39 1.96–4.83 1.57–5.22 | 3.73 2.18–5.29 1.75–5.71 | 7.13 4.13–10.12 3.32–10.93 | 37% 15% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.