Eredivisie·Regular Season - 13·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
17%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction1.012.443.46safe0.05–1.981.59–3.301.64–5.28safer0.00–2.231.36–3.531.16–5.76
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction3.686.9710.65safe1.82–5.545.23–8.717.04–14.25safer1.33–6.034.76–9.186.09–15.21
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7717.8428.61safe6.84–14.6914.28–21.4021.12–36.09safer5.75–15.7813.32–22.3619.07–38.14
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction6.6112.2518.86safe3.66–9.559.57–14.9313.23–24.48safer2.83–10.388.83–15.6711.67–26.05
Blocked shots
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.155.448.59safe1.27–5.043.79–7.095.06–12.13safer0.73–5.583.30–7.594.02–13.17
Corners
17%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.796.3410.13safe1.58–6.004.34–8.345.92–14.34safer1.00–6.583.81–8.874.81–15.45
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction38.5662.15safe31.77–45.3555.37–68.94safer30.10–47.0253.70–70.61
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction376574950safe309–444507–640816–1084safer291–462490–658781–1119
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction65.0179.98safe60.98–69.0475.66–84.31safer59.69–70.3474.35–85.62
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3910.4220.82safe7.56–13.237.48–13.3715.04–26.60safer6.80–13.996.73–14.1213.53–28.11
Offsides
28%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.943.33safe0.23–2.550.85–3.031.08–5.58safer0.00–2.850.56–3.320.49–6.17
Yellow cards
42%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.733.59safe0.82–2.910.60–2.861.42–5.77safer0.55–3.180.31–3.150.86–6.33
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.432.476.90safe2.99–5.860.92–4.033.91–9.89safer2.61–6.250.49–4.453.10–10.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.01 0.05–1.98 0.00–2.23 | 2.44 1.59–3.30 1.36–3.53 | 3.46 1.64–5.28 1.16–5.76 | 14% 17% 69% |
| Shots on target | 3.68 1.82–5.54 1.33–6.03 | 6.97 5.23–8.71 4.76–9.18 | 10.65 7.04–14.25 6.09–15.21 | 81% |
| Total shots | 10.77 6.84–14.69 5.75–15.78 | 17.84 14.28–21.40 13.32–22.36 | 28.61 21.12–36.09 19.07–38.14 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 6.61 3.66–9.55 2.83–10.38 | 12.25 9.57–14.93 8.83–15.67 | 18.86 13.23–24.48 11.67–26.05 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 3.15 1.27–5.04 0.73–5.58 | 5.44 3.79–7.09 3.30–7.59 | 8.59 5.06–12.13 4.02–13.17 | 17% 73% |
| Corners | 3.79 1.58–6.00 1.00–6.58 | 6.34 4.34–8.34 3.81–8.87 | 10.13 5.92–14.34 4.81–15.45 | 17% 74% |
| Possession % | 38.56 31.77–45.35 30.10–47.02 | 62.15 55.37–68.94 53.70–70.61 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 376 309–444 291–462 | 574 507–640 490–658 | 950 816–1084 781–1119 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.01 60.98–69.04 59.69–70.34 | 79.98 75.66–84.31 74.35–85.62 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 10.39 7.56–13.23 6.80–13.99 | 10.42 7.48–13.37 6.73–14.12 | 20.82 15.04–26.60 13.53–28.11 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.39 0.23–2.55 0.00–2.85 | 1.94 0.85–3.03 0.56–3.32 | 3.33 1.08–5.58 0.49–6.17 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.91 0.55–3.18 | 1.73 0.60–2.86 0.31–3.15 | 3.59 1.42–5.77 0.86–6.33 | 42% 22% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 4.43 2.99–5.86 2.61–6.25 | 2.47 0.92–4.03 0.49–4.45 | 6.90 3.91–9.89 3.10–10.71 | 71% 17% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.