Eredivisie·Regular Season - 13·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
20%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.162.173.33safe0.20–2.131.32–3.021.51–5.16safer0.00–2.381.09–3.251.03–5.64
Shots on target
19%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction4.096.4110.50safe2.22–5.954.67–8.166.90–14.11safer1.73–6.444.21–8.625.94–15.06
Total shots
16%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2217.1729.39safe8.29–16.1413.61–20.7321.90–36.87safer7.20–17.2312.65–21.6919.85–38.92
Shots in box
15%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction7.5311.5319.06safe4.59–10.478.85–14.2213.44–24.69safer3.76–11.308.12–14.9511.87–26.25
Blocked shots
20%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.265.198.46safe1.38–5.153.54–6.844.92–11.99safer0.84–5.693.05–7.343.88–13.03
Corners
24%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction4.406.2410.64safe2.19–6.624.24–8.246.42–14.85safer1.62–7.193.70–8.775.32–15.96
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction39.6660.73safe32.87–46.4553.94–67.51safer31.20–48.1252.27–69.19
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction361548909safe294–428482–615776–1043safer276–447464–632740–1079
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction66.1279.96safe62.09–70.1575.64–84.29safer60.80–71.4574.33–85.60
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5911.2621.85safe7.76–13.438.31–14.2016.07–27.64safer7.00–14.197.57–14.9514.57–29.14
Offsides
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.813.53safe0.56–2.880.72–2.911.28–5.78safer0.26–3.180.43–3.190.69–6.37
Yellow cards
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.723.33safe0.56–2.660.59–2.851.15–5.51safer0.29–2.920.30–3.140.59–6.07
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.712.807.50safe3.27–6.151.24–4.354.51–10.50safer2.89–6.530.81–4.783.70–11.31
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.20–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 2.17 1.32–3.02 1.09–3.25 | 3.33 1.51–5.16 1.03–5.64 | 20% 20% 60% |
| Shots on target | 4.09 2.22–5.95 1.73–6.44 | 6.41 4.67–8.16 4.21–8.62 | 10.50 6.90–14.11 5.94–15.06 | 19% 71% |
| Total shots | 12.22 8.29–16.14 7.20–17.23 | 17.17 13.61–20.73 12.65–21.69 | 29.39 21.90–36.87 19.85–38.92 | 16% 80% |
| Shots in box | 7.53 4.59–10.47 3.76–11.30 | 11.53 8.85–14.22 8.12–14.95 | 19.06 13.44–24.69 11.87–26.25 | 15% 79% |
| Blocked shots | 3.26 1.38–5.15 0.84–5.69 | 5.19 3.54–6.84 3.05–7.34 | 8.46 4.92–11.99 3.88–13.03 | 20% 69% |
| Corners | 4.40 2.19–6.62 1.62–7.19 | 6.24 4.24–8.24 3.70–8.77 | 10.64 6.42–14.85 5.32–15.96 | 24% 66% |
| Possession % | 39.66 32.87–46.45 31.20–48.12 | 60.73 53.94–67.51 52.27–69.19 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 361 294–428 276–447 | 548 482–615 464–632 | 909 776–1043 740–1079 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.12 62.09–70.15 60.80–71.45 | 79.96 75.64–84.29 74.33–85.60 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 10.59 7.76–13.43 7.00–14.19 | 11.26 8.31–14.20 7.57–14.95 | 21.85 16.07–27.64 14.57–29.14 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 1.81 0.72–2.91 0.43–3.19 | 3.53 1.28–5.78 0.69–6.37 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.29–2.92 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.33 1.15–5.51 0.59–6.07 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 4.71 3.27–6.15 2.89–6.53 | 2.80 1.24–4.35 0.81–4.78 | 7.50 4.51–10.50 3.70–11.31 | 70% 19% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+