Eredivisie·Regular Season - 13·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
27%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.132.50safe0.40–2.340.28–1.990.68–4.33safer0.15–2.590.05–2.210.20–4.81
Shots on target
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.383.788.16safe2.52–6.242.04–5.524.55–11.76safer2.03–6.731.57–5.993.60–12.72
Total shots
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1012.3826.48safe10.17–18.028.82–15.9519.00–33.97safer9.08–19.117.86–16.9116.94–36.02
Shots in box
67%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction9.257.0216.27safe6.30–12.194.34–9.7010.64–21.89safer5.47–13.023.60–10.449.08–23.46
Blocked shots
56%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.792.886.67safe1.91–5.671.23–4.533.13–10.20safer1.36–6.220.73–5.022.10–11.24
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.234.649.88safe3.02–7.452.64–6.645.66–14.09safer2.45–8.022.11–7.184.55–15.20
Possession %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction49.9750.51safe43.18–56.7643.73–57.30safer41.51–58.4342.06–58.97
Passes
51%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction423420844safe356–491354–487710–978safer338–509337–504675–1013
Pass accuracy %
32%
64%
homeawayprediction66.7369.92safe62.70–70.7565.60–74.25safer61.40–72.0564.29–75.55
Fouls
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7413.1823.92safe7.90–13.5810.24–16.1318.14–29.70safer7.15–14.339.49–16.8716.63–31.21
Offsides
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.342.80safe0.30–2.620.24–2.430.54–5.05safer0.00–2.920.00–2.720.00–5.64
Yellow cards
30%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.592.053.64safe0.55–2.640.92–3.181.46–5.82safer0.28–2.910.63–3.470.91–6.38
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
37%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.733.045.78safe1.30–4.171.49–4.602.79–8.77safer0.91–4.561.06–5.021.97–9.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 1.13 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.21 | 2.50 0.68–4.33 0.20–4.81 | 42% 27% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.38 2.52–6.24 2.03–6.73 | 3.78 2.04–5.52 1.57–5.99 | 8.16 4.55–11.76 3.60–12.72 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Total shots | 14.10 10.17–18.02 9.08–19.11 | 12.38 8.82–15.95 7.86–16.91 | 26.48 19.00–33.97 16.94–36.02 | 59% 33% |
| Shots in box | 9.25 6.30–12.19 5.47–13.02 | 7.02 4.34–9.70 3.60–10.44 | 16.27 10.64–21.89 9.08–23.46 | 67% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 3.79 1.91–5.67 1.36–6.22 | 2.88 1.23–4.53 0.73–5.02 | 6.67 3.13–10.20 2.10–11.24 | 56% 15% 29% |
| Corners | 5.23 3.02–7.45 2.45–8.02 | 4.64 2.64–6.64 2.11–7.18 | 9.88 5.66–14.09 4.55–15.20 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 49.97 43.18–56.76 41.51–58.43 | 50.51 43.73–57.30 42.06–58.97 | — | 46% 49% |
| Passes | 423 356–491 338–509 | 420 354–487 337–504 | 844 710–978 675–1013 | 51% 49% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.73 62.70–70.75 61.40–72.05 | 69.92 65.60–74.25 64.29–75.55 | — | 32% 64% |
| Fouls | 10.74 7.90–13.58 7.15–14.33 | 13.18 10.24–16.13 9.49–16.87 | 23.92 18.14–29.70 16.63–31.21 | 27% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 1.34 0.24–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 2.80 0.54–5.05 0.00–5.64 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.55–2.64 0.28–2.91 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.64 1.46–5.82 0.91–6.38 | 30% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.73 1.30–4.17 0.91–4.56 | 3.04 1.49–4.60 1.06–5.02 | 5.78 2.79–8.77 1.97–9.58 | 37% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.