Predicted match statistics
Goals
82%
homeawaytotalprediction3.050.803.84safe2.08–4.020.00–1.652.02–5.67safer1.83–4.270.00–1.881.54–6.15
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction8.593.1011.69safe6.72–10.451.36–4.848.08–15.29safer6.23–10.940.89–5.317.13–16.25
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction24.358.3732.72safe20.43–28.284.80–11.9325.23–40.21safer19.34–29.373.85–12.8923.18–42.26
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction16.615.4522.06safe13.67–19.552.76–8.1316.43–27.68safer12.84–20.382.03–8.8614.87–29.25
Blocked shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.572.689.25safe4.69–8.451.03–4.335.71–12.78safer4.14–8.990.53–4.834.68–13.82
Corners
93%
homeawaytotalprediction8.633.1811.81safe6.41–10.841.18–5.187.59–16.02safer5.84–11.410.65–5.716.49–17.13
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.5937.37safe55.80–69.3830.58–44.15safer54.13–71.0528.91–45.82
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction605342947safe538–672275–408813–1080safer520–690258–426777–1116
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction76.6967.83safe72.66–80.7163.51–72.16safer71.36–82.0162.20–73.47
Fouls
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4510.3219.77safe6.62–12.297.37–13.2613.99–25.55safer5.86–13.056.62–14.0112.48–27.06
Offsides
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.573.10safe0.37–2.690.47–2.660.85–5.35safer0.07–2.990.18–2.950.26–5.94
Yellow cards
21%
24%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction0.951.672.62safe0.00–2.000.54–2.800.44–4.80safer0.00–2.260.25–3.090.00–5.36
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.12safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.75
GK saves
84%
homeawaytotalprediction2.335.577.91safe0.90–3.774.02–7.134.91–10.90safer0.51–4.163.59–7.554.10–11.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.05 2.08–4.02 1.83–4.27 | 0.80 0.00–1.65 0.00–1.88 | 3.84 2.02–5.67 1.54–6.15 | 82% |
| Shots on target | 8.59 6.72–10.45 6.23–10.94 | 3.10 1.36–4.84 0.89–5.31 | 11.69 8.08–15.29 7.13–16.25 | 93% |
| Total shots | 24.35 20.43–28.28 19.34–29.37 | 8.37 4.80–11.93 3.85–12.89 | 32.72 25.23–40.21 23.18–42.26 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 16.61 13.67–19.55 12.84–20.38 | 5.45 2.76–8.13 2.03–8.86 | 22.06 16.43–27.68 14.87–29.25 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 6.57 4.69–8.45 4.14–8.99 | 2.68 1.03–4.33 0.53–4.83 | 9.25 5.71–12.78 4.68–13.82 | 87% |
| Corners | 8.63 6.41–10.84 5.84–11.41 | 3.18 1.18–5.18 0.65–5.71 | 11.81 7.59–16.02 6.49–17.13 | 93% |
| Possession % | 62.59 55.80–69.38 54.13–71.05 | 37.37 30.58–44.15 28.91–45.82 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 605 538–672 520–690 | 342 275–408 258–426 | 947 813–1080 777–1116 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.69 72.66–80.71 71.36–82.01 | 67.83 63.51–72.16 62.20–73.47 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 9.45 6.62–12.29 5.86–13.05 | 10.32 7.37–13.26 6.62–14.01 | 19.77 13.99–25.55 12.48–27.06 | 38% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.07–2.99 | 1.57 0.47–2.66 0.18–2.95 | 3.10 0.85–5.35 0.26–5.94 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 0.95 0.00–2.00 0.00–2.26 | 1.67 0.54–2.80 0.25–3.09 | 2.62 0.44–4.80 0.00–5.36 | 21% 24% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.33 0.90–3.77 0.51–4.16 | 5.57 4.02–7.13 3.59–7.55 | 7.91 4.91–10.90 4.10–11.71 | 84% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.