Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
25%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.242.80safe0.60–2.530.38–2.090.98–4.62safer0.34–2.780.15–2.320.50–5.10
Shots on target
51%
13%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.944.399.33safe3.08–6.802.65–6.145.73–12.94safer2.59–7.292.18–6.604.77–13.89
Total shots
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3412.8927.23safe10.42–18.269.33–16.4519.74–34.72safer9.32–19.368.37–17.4117.69–36.77
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction9.628.1517.77safe6.68–12.565.47–10.8312.15–23.39safer5.85–13.394.73–11.5610.58–24.96
Blocked shots
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.843.437.27safe1.96–5.721.78–5.083.74–10.81safer1.41–6.271.29–5.582.70–11.84
Corners
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.614.8410.45safe3.39–7.822.84–6.846.23–14.66safer2.82–8.392.31–7.375.13–15.77
Possession %
56%
40%
homeawayprediction51.7948.44safe45.00–58.5841.66–55.23safer43.33–60.2539.99–56.90
Passes
67%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction462408870safe394–529342–475736–1004safer376–547324–492701–1039
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction68.1070.74safe64.07–72.1366.42–75.07safer62.78–73.4265.11–76.38
Fouls
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8712.4427.31safe12.03–17.719.49–15.3821.53–33.09safer11.28–18.468.74–16.1320.02–34.59
Offsides
42%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.322.83safe0.35–2.670.23–2.420.58–5.08safer0.05–2.970.00–2.700.00–5.67
Yellow cards
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.843.63safe0.74–2.830.71–2.971.45–5.81safer0.47–3.100.42–3.260.89–6.37
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.943.386.32safe1.50–4.381.83–4.943.33–9.32safer1.12–4.761.40–5.362.52–10.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.60–2.53 0.34–2.78 | 1.24 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.32 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.94 3.08–6.80 2.59–7.29 | 4.39 2.65–6.14 2.18–6.60 | 9.33 5.73–12.94 4.77–13.89 | 51% 13% 36% |
| Total shots | 14.34 10.42–18.26 9.32–19.36 | 12.89 9.33–16.45 8.37–17.41 | 27.23 19.74–34.72 17.69–36.77 | 57% 35% |
| Shots in box | 9.62 6.68–12.56 5.85–13.39 | 8.15 5.47–10.83 4.73–11.56 | 17.77 12.15–23.39 10.58–24.96 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.84 1.96–5.72 1.41–6.27 | 3.43 1.78–5.08 1.29–5.58 | 7.27 3.74–10.81 2.70–11.84 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 5.61 3.39–7.82 2.82–8.39 | 4.84 2.84–6.84 2.31–7.37 | 10.45 6.23–14.66 5.13–15.77 | 53% 35% |
| Possession % | 51.79 45.00–58.58 43.33–60.25 | 48.44 41.66–55.23 39.99–56.90 | — | 56% 40% |
| Passes | 462 394–529 376–547 | 408 342–475 324–492 | 870 736–1004 701–1039 | 67% 33% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.10 64.07–72.13 62.78–73.42 | 70.74 66.42–75.07 65.11–76.38 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 14.87 12.03–17.71 11.28–18.46 | 12.44 9.49–15.38 8.74–16.13 | 27.31 21.53–33.09 20.02–34.59 | 64% 29% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.97 | 1.32 0.23–2.42 0.00–2.70 | 2.83 0.58–5.08 0.00–5.67 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.83 0.47–3.10 | 1.84 0.71–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 3.63 1.45–5.81 0.89–6.37 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.50–4.38 1.12–4.76 | 3.38 1.83–4.94 1.40–5.36 | 6.32 3.33–9.32 2.52–10.13 | 35% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.