Eredivisie·Regular Season - 14·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
26%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.392.68safe0.32–2.260.54–2.250.86–4.50safer0.07–2.510.31–2.470.38–4.98
Shots on target
45%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.944.859.79safe3.08–6.803.11–6.606.19–13.40safer2.59–7.292.65–7.065.23–14.35
Total shots
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2713.8428.12safe10.35–18.2010.28–17.4120.63–35.61safer9.26–19.299.32–18.3718.58–37.66
Shots in box
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction8.968.8817.84safe6.02–11.906.20–11.5612.22–23.46safer5.19–12.735.47–12.3010.65–25.03
Blocked shots
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.923.517.43safe2.03–5.801.86–5.163.89–10.96safer1.49–6.341.37–5.662.86–12.00
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.945.2310.18safe2.73–7.163.23–7.235.96–14.39safer2.16–7.732.70–7.774.86–15.50
Possession %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction46.8753.23safe40.08–53.6646.44–60.01safer38.41–55.3344.77–61.69
Passes
34%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction393441834safe326–460375–508701–968safer308–479357–525665–1004
Pass accuracy %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction67.7371.85safe63.71–71.7667.53–76.18safer62.41–73.0666.22–77.48
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8912.6925.58safe10.06–15.739.74–15.6319.80–31.36safer9.30–16.498.99–16.3818.29–32.87
Offsides
50%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.323.16safe0.68–3.000.22–2.410.91–5.42safer0.38–3.310.00–2.700.32–6.00
Yellow cards
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.882.154.02safe0.83–2.931.02–3.271.85–6.20safer0.56–3.190.73–3.571.29–6.76
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
40%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.243.386.62safe1.80–4.681.83–4.943.63–9.61safer1.42–5.061.40–5.362.82–10.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.32–2.26 0.07–2.51 | 1.39 0.54–2.25 0.31–2.47 | 2.68 0.86–4.50 0.38–4.98 | 35% 26% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.94 3.08–6.80 2.59–7.29 | 4.85 3.11–6.60 2.65–7.06 | 9.79 6.19–13.40 5.23–14.35 | 45% 42% |
| Total shots | 14.27 10.35–18.20 9.26–19.29 | 13.84 10.28–17.41 9.32–18.37 | 28.12 20.63–35.61 18.58–37.66 | 49% 43% |
| Shots in box | 8.96 6.02–11.90 5.19–12.73 | 8.88 6.20–11.56 5.47–12.30 | 17.84 12.22–23.46 10.65–25.03 | 46% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.92 2.03–5.80 1.49–6.34 | 3.51 1.86–5.16 1.37–5.66 | 7.43 3.89–10.96 2.86–12.00 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 4.94 2.73–7.16 2.16–7.73 | 5.23 3.23–7.23 2.70–7.77 | 10.18 5.96–14.39 4.86–15.50 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 46.87 40.08–53.66 38.41–55.33 | 53.23 46.44–60.01 44.77–61.69 | — | 33% 62% |
| Passes | 393 326–460 308–479 | 441 375–508 357–525 | 834 701–968 665–1004 | 34% 65% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.73 63.71–71.76 62.41–73.06 | 71.85 67.53–76.18 66.22–77.48 | — | 28% 68% |
| Fouls | 12.89 10.06–15.73 9.30–16.49 | 12.69 9.74–15.63 8.99–16.38 | 25.58 19.80–31.36 18.29–32.87 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.31 | 1.32 0.22–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 3.16 0.91–5.42 0.32–6.00 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.83–2.93 0.56–3.19 | 2.15 1.02–3.27 0.73–3.57 | 4.02 1.85–6.20 1.29–6.76 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.24 1.80–4.68 1.42–5.06 | 3.38 1.83–4.94 1.40–5.36 | 6.62 3.63–9.61 2.82–10.43 | 40% 16% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+