Eredivisie·Regular Season - 14·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.462.81safe0.38–2.320.61–2.320.99–4.64safer0.13–2.570.38–2.540.51–5.11
Shots on target
43%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.935.019.94safe3.07–6.793.27–6.766.34–13.55safer2.58–7.282.81–7.225.38–14.50
Total shots
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2114.1329.35safe11.29–19.1410.57–17.6921.86–36.83safer10.20–20.239.61–18.6519.81–38.89
Shots in box
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction9.329.8119.12safe6.37–12.267.13–12.4913.50–24.75safer5.55–13.096.39–13.2211.93–26.31
Blocked shots
52%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.233.547.77safe2.34–6.111.89–5.204.23–11.30safer1.80–6.651.40–5.693.20–12.34
Corners
38%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction5.025.5010.52safe2.80–7.233.50–7.506.31–14.73safer2.23–7.812.97–8.045.20–15.84
Possession %
59%
37%
homeawayprediction52.3247.64safe45.53–59.1140.86–54.43safer43.86–60.7839.19–56.10
Passes
67%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction451398849safe384–519331–464715–983safer366–537314–482680–1019
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction66.6467.90safe62.61–70.6763.58–72.23safer61.32–71.9662.27–73.54
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1812.6324.81safe9.34–15.019.69–15.5719.02–30.59safer8.58–15.778.94–16.3217.52–32.09
Offsides
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.713.21safe0.34–2.660.62–2.800.95–5.46safer0.03–2.960.33–3.090.36–6.05
Yellow cards
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.733.26safe0.48–2.580.61–2.861.08–5.44safer0.21–2.840.31–3.150.53–6.00
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
41%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.333.426.75safe1.89–4.761.87–4.983.76–9.74safer1.50–5.151.44–5.402.95–10.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.46 0.61–2.32 0.38–2.54 | 2.81 0.99–4.64 0.51–5.11 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.93 3.07–6.79 2.58–7.28 | 5.01 3.27–6.76 2.81–7.22 | 9.94 6.34–13.55 5.38–14.50 | 43% 45% |
| Total shots | 15.21 11.29–19.14 10.20–20.23 | 14.13 10.57–17.69 9.61–18.65 | 29.35 21.86–36.83 19.81–38.89 | 54% 38% |
| Shots in box | 9.32 6.37–12.26 5.55–13.09 | 9.81 7.13–12.49 6.39–13.22 | 19.12 13.50–24.75 11.93–26.31 | 41% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 4.23 2.34–6.11 1.80–6.65 | 3.54 1.89–5.20 1.40–5.69 | 7.77 4.23–11.30 3.20–12.34 | 52% 14% 33% |
| Corners | 5.02 2.80–7.23 2.23–7.81 | 5.50 3.50–7.50 2.97–8.04 | 10.52 6.31–14.73 5.20–15.84 | 38% 50% |
| Possession % | 52.32 45.53–59.11 43.86–60.78 | 47.64 40.86–54.43 39.19–56.10 | — | 59% 37% |
| Passes | 451 384–519 366–537 | 398 331–464 314–482 | 849 715–983 680–1019 | 67% 33% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.64 62.61–70.67 61.32–71.96 | 67.90 63.58–72.23 62.27–73.54 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 12.18 9.34–15.01 8.58–15.77 | 12.63 9.69–15.57 8.94–16.32 | 24.81 19.02–30.59 17.52–32.09 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.03–2.96 | 1.71 0.62–2.80 0.33–3.09 | 3.21 0.95–5.46 0.36–6.05 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.21–2.84 | 1.73 0.61–2.86 0.31–3.15 | 3.26 1.08–5.44 0.53–6.00 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.33 1.89–4.76 1.50–5.15 | 3.42 1.87–4.98 1.44–5.40 | 6.75 3.76–9.74 2.95–10.56 | 41% 16% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+