Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
25%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.112.66safe0.58–2.520.26–1.960.84–4.48safer0.33–2.770.03–2.190.36–4.96
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.163.768.92safe3.29–7.022.02–5.505.31–12.52safer2.80–7.511.55–5.974.36–13.48
Total shots
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2311.6326.86safe11.30–19.158.07–15.1919.37–34.34safer10.21–20.247.11–16.1517.32–36.39
Shots in box
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction9.937.9517.88safe6.99–12.885.27–10.6312.26–23.51safer6.16–13.714.53–11.3710.69–25.07
Blocked shots
57%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.093.077.16safe2.20–5.971.42–4.733.62–10.70safer1.66–6.510.93–5.222.59–11.73
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.674.7010.37safe3.46–7.882.70–6.706.16–14.59safer2.88–8.462.17–7.245.05–15.69
Possession %
61%
35%
homeawayprediction52.3646.70safe45.57–59.1539.91–53.48safer43.90–60.8238.24–55.16
Passes
76%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction464380844safe397–531314–446710–978safer379–549296–464675–1013
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction71.2468.71safe67.21–75.2764.39–73.04safer65.92–76.5663.08–74.35
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9410.8622.81safe9.11–14.787.92–13.8117.02–28.59safer8.35–15.547.17–14.5615.52–30.09
Offsides
33%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.703.15safe0.30–2.620.60–2.790.90–5.41safer0.00–2.920.32–3.080.31–6.00
Yellow cards
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.723.26safe0.49–2.590.59–2.851.08–5.44safer0.23–2.860.30–3.140.52–6.00
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
27%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.573.556.12safe1.14–4.012.00–5.113.13–9.12safer0.75–4.401.57–5.532.32–9.93
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.58–2.52 0.33–2.77 | 1.11 0.26–1.96 0.03–2.19 | 2.66 0.84–4.48 0.36–4.96 | 47% 25% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.16 3.29–7.02 2.80–7.51 | 3.76 2.02–5.50 1.55–5.97 | 8.92 5.31–12.52 4.36–13.48 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 15.23 11.30–19.15 10.21–20.24 | 11.63 8.07–15.19 7.11–16.15 | 26.86 19.37–34.34 17.32–36.39 | 73% 21% |
| Shots in box | 9.93 6.99–12.88 6.16–13.71 | 7.95 5.27–10.63 4.53–11.37 | 17.88 12.26–23.51 10.69–25.07 | 64% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 4.09 2.20–5.97 1.66–6.51 | 3.07 1.42–4.73 0.93–5.22 | 7.16 3.62–10.70 2.59–11.73 | 57% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 5.67 3.46–7.88 2.88–8.46 | 4.70 2.70–6.70 2.17–7.24 | 10.37 6.16–14.59 5.05–15.69 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 52.36 45.57–59.15 43.90–60.82 | 46.70 39.91–53.48 38.24–55.16 | — | 61% 35% |
| Passes | 464 397–531 379–549 | 380 314–446 296–464 | 844 710–978 675–1013 | 76% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.24 67.21–75.27 65.92–76.56 | 68.71 64.39–73.04 63.08–74.35 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 11.94 9.11–14.78 8.35–15.54 | 10.86 7.92–13.81 7.17–14.56 | 22.81 17.02–28.59 15.52–30.09 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 1.70 0.60–2.79 0.32–3.08 | 3.15 0.90–5.41 0.31–6.00 | 33% 23% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.23–2.86 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.26 1.08–5.44 0.52–6.00 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.57 1.14–4.01 0.75–4.40 | 3.55 2.00–5.11 1.57–5.53 | 6.12 3.13–9.12 2.32–9.93 | 27% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+