Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.403.13safe0.76–2.690.55–2.261.30–4.95safer0.50–2.940.32–2.480.82–5.43
Shots on target
45%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.145.0610.19safe3.27–7.003.31–6.806.59–13.80safer2.79–7.492.85–7.265.63–14.75
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0613.1128.17safe11.13–18.989.55–16.6820.68–35.66safer10.04–20.078.59–17.6318.63–37.71
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction10.268.5318.79safe7.32–13.205.85–11.2113.16–24.41safer6.49–14.035.11–11.9511.60–25.98
Blocked shots
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.763.817.56safe1.87–5.642.15–5.464.03–11.10safer1.33–6.181.66–5.952.99–12.13
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.084.899.97safe2.86–7.292.89–6.895.76–14.18safer2.29–7.862.36–7.434.65–15.29
Possession %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction48.5852.55safe41.79–55.3745.77–59.34safer40.12–57.0444.09–61.01
Passes
31%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction457516972safe390–524449–582839–1106safer372–542432–600803–1142
Pass accuracy %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction69.6076.64safe65.57–73.6372.31–80.96safer64.28–74.9271.00–82.27
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2910.8421.13safe7.45–13.127.89–13.7815.34–26.91safer6.69–13.887.15–14.5313.84–28.41
Offsides
49%
20%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.231.763.99safe1.07–3.390.67–2.851.73–6.24safer0.77–3.690.38–3.141.14–6.83
Yellow cards
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.683.19safe0.46–2.560.55–2.811.01–5.37safer0.19–2.820.26–3.100.45–5.93
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.103.336.42safe1.66–4.531.77–4.883.43–9.41safer1.27–4.921.35–5.312.62–10.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.72 0.76–2.69 0.50–2.94 | 1.40 0.55–2.26 0.32–2.48 | 3.13 1.30–4.95 0.82–5.43 | 45% 23% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.14 3.27–7.00 2.79–7.49 | 5.06 3.31–6.80 2.85–7.26 | 10.19 6.59–13.80 5.63–14.75 | 45% 43% |
| Total shots | 15.06 11.13–18.98 10.04–20.07 | 13.11 9.55–16.68 8.59–17.63 | 28.17 20.68–35.66 18.63–37.71 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 10.26 7.32–13.20 6.49–14.03 | 8.53 5.85–11.21 5.11–11.95 | 18.79 13.16–24.41 11.60–25.98 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 3.76 1.87–5.64 1.33–6.18 | 3.81 2.15–5.46 1.66–5.95 | 7.56 4.03–11.10 2.99–12.13 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 5.08 2.86–7.29 2.29–7.86 | 4.89 2.89–6.89 2.36–7.43 | 9.97 5.76–14.18 4.65–15.29 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 48.58 41.79–55.37 40.12–57.04 | 52.55 45.77–59.34 44.09–61.01 | — | 38% 57% |
| Passes | 457 390–524 372–542 | 516 449–582 432–600 | 972 839–1106 803–1142 | 31% 69% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.60 65.57–73.63 64.28–74.92 | 76.64 72.31–80.96 71.00–82.27 | — | 17% 80% |
| Fouls | 10.29 7.45–13.12 6.69–13.88 | 10.84 7.89–13.78 7.15–14.53 | 21.13 15.34–26.91 13.84–28.41 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 2.23 1.07–3.39 0.77–3.69 | 1.76 0.67–2.85 0.38–3.14 | 3.99 1.73–6.24 1.14–6.83 | 49% 20% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.19–2.82 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 3.19 1.01–5.37 0.45–5.93 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.10 1.66–4.53 1.27–4.92 | 3.33 1.77–4.88 1.35–5.31 | 6.42 3.43–9.41 2.62–10.23 | 38% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+