Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
22%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.133.03safe0.93–2.870.27–1.981.21–4.85safer0.68–3.120.05–2.210.73–5.33
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.023.829.84safe4.15–7.882.08–5.566.23–13.44safer3.66–8.371.61–6.035.28–14.40
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction17.7911.0128.80safe13.87–21.717.45–14.5721.31–36.29safer12.77–22.816.49–15.5319.26–38.34
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction11.677.2818.95safe8.73–14.614.60–9.9613.33–24.58safer7.90–15.443.87–10.7011.76–26.14
Blocked shots
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.133.418.54safe3.25–7.011.76–5.065.01–12.08safer2.70–7.561.27–5.563.97–13.11
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.734.5911.32safe4.52–8.942.59–6.597.11–15.54safer3.94–9.522.06–7.136.00–16.64
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.2642.77safe50.47–64.0535.99–49.56safer48.80–65.7234.32–51.23
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction504364867safe436–571297–430734–1001safer418–589280–448698–1037
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction69.9968.14safe65.96–74.0263.81–72.46safer64.66–75.3162.50–73.77
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8011.7721.57safe6.97–12.648.82–14.7115.79–27.35safer6.21–13.408.07–15.4614.28–28.86
Offsides
44%
26%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.162.62safe0.30–2.620.07–2.250.37–4.88safer0.00–2.920.00–2.540.00–5.46
Yellow cards
26%
24%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.131.662.78safe0.08–2.170.53–2.790.61–4.96safer0.00–2.440.24–3.080.05–5.52
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
23%
13%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.854.307.16safe1.42–4.292.75–5.864.16–10.15safer1.03–4.682.32–6.283.35–10.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.90 0.93–2.87 0.68–3.12 | 1.13 0.27–1.98 0.05–2.21 | 3.03 1.21–4.85 0.73–5.33 | 55% 22% 22% |
| Shots on target | 6.02 4.15–7.88 3.66–8.37 | 3.82 2.08–5.56 1.61–6.03 | 9.84 6.23–13.44 5.28–14.40 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 17.79 13.87–21.71 12.77–22.81 | 11.01 7.45–14.57 6.49–15.53 | 28.80 21.31–36.29 19.26–38.34 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 11.67 8.73–14.61 7.90–15.44 | 7.28 4.60–9.96 3.87–10.70 | 18.95 13.33–24.58 11.76–26.14 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 5.13 3.25–7.01 2.70–7.56 | 3.41 1.76–5.06 1.27–5.56 | 8.54 5.01–12.08 3.97–13.11 | 66% 22% |
| Corners | 6.73 4.52–8.94 3.94–9.52 | 4.59 2.59–6.59 2.06–7.13 | 11.32 7.11–15.54 6.00–16.64 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 57.26 50.47–64.05 48.80–65.72 | 42.77 35.99–49.56 34.32–51.23 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 504 436–571 418–589 | 364 297–430 280–448 | 867 734–1001 698–1037 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.99 65.96–74.02 64.66–75.31 | 68.14 63.81–72.46 62.50–73.77 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 9.80 6.97–12.64 6.21–13.40 | 11.77 8.82–14.71 8.07–15.46 | 21.57 15.79–27.35 14.28–28.86 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 1.16 0.07–2.25 0.00–2.54 | 2.62 0.37–4.88 0.00–5.46 | 44% 26% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.13 0.08–2.17 0.00–2.44 | 1.66 0.53–2.79 0.24–3.08 | 2.78 0.61–4.96 0.05–5.52 | 26% 24% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.85 1.42–4.29 1.03–4.68 | 4.30 2.75–5.86 2.32–6.28 | 7.16 4.16–10.15 3.35–10.96 | 23% 13% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+