Eredivisie·Regular Season - 14·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
18%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction1.022.373.39safe0.05–1.991.52–3.231.57–5.21safer0.00–2.241.29–3.461.09–5.69
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction3.536.6010.13safe1.66–5.394.86–8.356.52–13.74safer1.17–5.884.40–8.815.57–14.69
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5817.3027.88safe6.65–14.5013.74–20.8720.39–35.37safer5.56–15.5912.78–21.8318.34–37.42
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction5.8111.5217.32safe2.86–8.758.84–14.2011.70–22.95safer2.03–9.588.10–14.9410.13–24.51
Blocked shots
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.125.158.27safe1.24–5.003.50–6.804.73–11.81safer0.70–5.553.00–7.293.70–12.84
Corners
18%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction3.716.019.72safe1.49–5.924.01–8.015.50–13.93safer0.92–6.493.48–8.544.40–15.04
Possession %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction42.7857.07safe35.99–49.5750.28–63.85safer34.32–51.2448.61–65.52
Passes
18%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction411519930safe344–478453–585796–1064safer326–496435–603761–1099
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction66.0077.32safe61.97–70.0273.00–81.64safer60.67–71.3271.69–82.95
Fouls
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5010.9121.41safe7.66–13.347.97–13.8515.63–27.19safer6.91–14.097.22–14.6014.12–28.70
Offsides
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.793.59safe0.65–2.970.69–2.881.34–5.85safer0.35–3.270.40–3.170.75–6.44
Yellow cards
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.623.45safe0.78–2.880.50–2.751.28–5.63safer0.51–3.140.20–3.040.72–6.19
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.262.456.71safe2.83–5.700.89–4.013.72–9.70safer2.44–6.090.47–4.432.91–10.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.02 0.05–1.99 0.00–2.24 | 2.37 1.52–3.23 1.29–3.46 | 3.39 1.57–5.21 1.09–5.69 | 15% 18% 67% |
| Shots on target | 3.53 1.66–5.39 1.17–5.88 | 6.60 4.86–8.35 4.40–8.81 | 10.13 6.52–13.74 5.57–14.69 | 79% |
| Total shots | 10.58 6.65–14.50 5.56–15.59 | 17.30 13.74–20.87 12.78–21.83 | 27.88 20.39–35.37 18.34–37.42 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 5.81 2.86–8.75 2.03–9.58 | 11.52 8.84–14.20 8.10–14.94 | 17.32 11.70–22.95 10.13–24.51 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 3.12 1.24–5.00 0.70–5.55 | 5.15 3.50–6.80 3.00–7.29 | 8.27 4.73–11.81 3.70–12.84 | 19% 70% |
| Corners | 3.71 1.49–5.92 0.92–6.49 | 6.01 4.01–8.01 3.48–8.54 | 9.72 5.50–13.93 4.40–15.04 | 18% 72% |
| Possession % | 42.78 35.99–49.57 34.32–51.24 | 57.07 50.28–63.85 48.61–65.52 | — | 18% 78% |
| Passes | 411 344–478 326–496 | 519 453–585 435–603 | 930 796–1064 761–1099 | 18% 82% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.00 61.97–70.02 60.67–71.32 | 77.32 73.00–81.64 71.69–82.95 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 10.50 7.66–13.34 6.91–14.09 | 10.91 7.97–13.85 7.22–14.60 | 21.41 15.63–27.19 14.12–28.70 | 42% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.79 0.69–2.88 0.40–3.17 | 3.59 1.34–5.85 0.75–6.44 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.88 0.51–3.14 | 1.62 0.50–2.75 0.20–3.04 | 3.45 1.28–5.63 0.72–6.19 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 4.26 2.83–5.70 2.44–6.09 | 2.45 0.89–4.01 0.47–4.43 | 6.71 3.72–9.70 2.91–10.52 | 69% 18% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.