Eredivisie·Regular Season - 14·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
74%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.901.104.00safe1.93–3.860.25–1.962.18–5.82safer1.68–4.120.02–2.181.70–6.30
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.713.5411.25safe5.85–9.581.80–5.287.65–14.86safer5.36–10.071.33–5.756.69–15.81
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction22.399.8032.19safe18.46–26.316.24–13.3624.70–39.67safer17.37–27.405.28–14.3222.65–41.72
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction14.226.9421.16safe11.28–17.164.26–9.6215.54–26.79safer10.45–17.993.52–10.3613.97–28.35
Blocked shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.192.558.74safe4.31–8.070.90–4.205.21–12.28safer3.76–8.620.40–4.704.17–13.31
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.943.6211.56safe5.73–10.151.62–5.627.35–15.77safer5.15–10.731.09–6.156.24–16.88
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction64.8434.72safe58.05–71.6327.94–41.51safer56.38–73.3026.27–43.18
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction652334986safe585–719267–400852–1119safer567–737250–418816–1155
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction78.8268.38safe74.79–82.8564.06–72.71safer73.50–84.1562.75–74.02
Fouls
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction9.059.2318.28safe6.21–11.896.29–12.1812.50–24.06safer5.46–12.645.54–12.9210.99–25.57
Offsides
44%
26%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.182.66safe0.32–2.640.09–2.280.41–4.92safer0.02–2.940.00–2.570.00–5.51
Yellow cards
20%
23%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction0.971.822.79safe0.00–2.020.69–2.950.61–4.97safer0.00–2.280.40–3.240.06–5.53
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.070.11safe0.00–0.200.00–0.260.00–0.46safer0.00–0.350.00–0.390.00–0.74
GK saves
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.564.827.38safe1.13–4.003.26–6.374.39–10.37safer0.74–4.392.84–6.803.57–11.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.90 1.93–3.86 1.68–4.12 | 1.10 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.18 | 4.00 2.18–5.82 1.70–6.30 | 74% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.71 5.85–9.58 5.36–10.07 | 3.54 1.80–5.28 1.33–5.75 | 11.25 7.65–14.86 6.69–15.81 | 87% |
| Total shots | 22.39 18.46–26.31 17.37–27.40 | 9.80 6.24–13.36 5.28–14.32 | 32.19 24.70–39.67 22.65–41.72 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.22 11.28–17.16 10.45–17.99 | 6.94 4.26–9.62 3.52–10.36 | 21.16 15.54–26.79 13.97–28.35 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 6.19 4.31–8.07 3.76–8.62 | 2.55 0.90–4.20 0.40–4.70 | 8.74 5.21–12.28 4.17–13.31 | 86% |
| Corners | 7.94 5.73–10.15 5.15–10.73 | 3.62 1.62–5.62 1.09–6.15 | 11.56 7.35–15.77 6.24–16.88 | 87% |
| Possession % | 64.84 58.05–71.63 56.38–73.30 | 34.72 27.94–41.51 26.27–43.18 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 652 585–719 567–737 | 334 267–400 250–418 | 986 852–1119 816–1155 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.82 74.79–82.85 73.50–84.15 | 68.38 64.06–72.71 62.75–74.02 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 9.05 6.21–11.89 5.46–12.64 | 9.23 6.29–12.18 5.54–12.92 | 18.28 12.50–24.06 10.99–25.57 | 44% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.02–2.94 | 1.18 0.09–2.28 0.00–2.57 | 2.66 0.41–4.92 0.00–5.51 | 44% 26% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 0.97 0.00–2.02 0.00–2.28 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 2.79 0.61–4.97 0.06–5.53 | 20% 23% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.74 | 90% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.13–4.00 0.74–4.39 | 4.82 3.26–6.37 2.84–6.80 | 7.38 4.39–10.37 3.57–11.18 | 15% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+