Eredivisie·Regular Season - 14·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
21%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.152.033.17safe0.18–2.111.17–2.881.35–4.99safer0.00–2.360.94–3.110.87–5.47
Shots on target
24%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.995.639.62safe2.13–5.863.88–7.376.02–13.23safer1.64–6.353.42–7.845.06–14.18
Total shots
37%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2014.5127.71safe9.27–17.1210.95–18.0720.22–35.19safer8.18–18.219.99–19.0318.17–37.24
Shots in box
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction8.4410.1218.56safe5.50–11.387.44–12.8012.94–24.19safer4.67–12.216.71–13.5411.37–25.75
Blocked shots
31%
14%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.584.468.04safe1.70–5.472.80–6.114.51–11.58safer1.16–6.012.31–6.603.47–12.61
Corners
27%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.636.1710.80safe2.42–6.844.17–8.176.59–15.02safer1.84–7.423.64–8.715.48–16.12
Possession %
21%
76%
homeawayprediction43.7556.65safe36.96–50.5449.86–63.43safer35.29–52.2148.19–65.11
Passes
18%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction388496885safe321–456430–563751–1018safer303–474412–580715–1054
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction69.2677.61safe65.23–73.2973.29–81.93safer63.94–74.5871.98–83.24
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6811.9222.60safe7.85–13.528.97–14.8616.82–28.38safer7.09–14.288.22–15.6115.31–29.89
Offsides
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.553.37safe0.66–2.980.46–2.641.12–5.63safer0.36–3.290.17–2.930.53–6.22
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.823.45safe0.58–2.680.69–2.951.27–5.63safer0.31–2.950.40–3.240.72–6.19
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.612.876.49safe2.18–5.051.32–4.433.50–9.48safer1.79–5.440.89–4.852.68–10.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.11 0.00–2.36 | 2.03 1.17–2.88 0.94–3.11 | 3.17 1.35–4.99 0.87–5.47 | 21% 21% 58% |
| Shots on target | 3.99 2.13–5.86 1.64–6.35 | 5.63 3.88–7.37 3.42–7.84 | 9.62 6.02–13.23 5.06–14.18 | 24% 64% |
| Total shots | 13.20 9.27–17.12 8.18–18.21 | 14.51 10.95–18.07 9.99–19.03 | 27.71 20.22–35.19 18.17–37.24 | 37% 56% |
| Shots in box | 8.44 5.50–11.38 4.67–12.21 | 10.12 7.44–12.80 6.71–13.54 | 18.56 12.94–24.19 11.37–25.75 | 31% 61% |
| Blocked shots | 3.58 1.70–5.47 1.16–6.01 | 4.46 2.80–6.11 2.31–6.60 | 8.04 4.51–11.58 3.47–12.61 | 31% 14% 55% |
| Corners | 4.63 2.42–6.84 1.84–7.42 | 6.17 4.17–8.17 3.64–8.71 | 10.80 6.59–15.02 5.48–16.12 | 27% 62% |
| Possession % | 43.75 36.96–50.54 35.29–52.21 | 56.65 49.86–63.43 48.19–65.11 | — | 21% 76% |
| Passes | 388 321–456 303–474 | 496 430–563 412–580 | 885 751–1018 715–1054 | 18% 82% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.26 65.23–73.29 63.94–74.58 | 77.61 73.29–81.93 71.98–83.24 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 10.68 7.85–13.52 7.09–14.28 | 11.92 8.97–14.86 8.22–15.61 | 22.60 16.82–28.38 15.31–29.89 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.29 | 1.55 0.46–2.64 0.17–2.93 | 3.37 1.12–5.63 0.53–6.22 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.58–2.68 0.31–2.95 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.45 1.27–5.63 0.72–6.19 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.61 2.18–5.05 1.79–5.44 | 2.87 1.32–4.43 0.89–4.85 | 6.49 3.50–9.48 2.68–10.29 | 54% 15% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+