Eredivisie·Regular Season - 14·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
19%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction0.892.203.09safe0.00–1.861.35–3.051.27–4.91safer0.00–2.111.12–3.280.79–5.39
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction3.286.469.74safe1.42–5.154.72–8.206.14–13.35safer0.93–5.644.25–8.675.18–14.30
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4018.0428.43safe6.47–14.3214.47–21.6020.95–35.92safer5.38–15.4113.52–22.5618.90–37.97
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.5111.4117.92safe3.57–9.458.72–14.0912.29–23.54safer2.74–10.287.99–14.8210.73–25.11
Blocked shots
14%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.775.268.03safe0.89–4.653.61–6.924.50–11.57safer0.34–5.193.12–7.413.46–12.60
Corners
18%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction4.026.4210.44safe1.81–6.234.42–8.426.23–14.65safer1.23–6.813.89–8.955.12–15.76
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction34.2065.67safe27.41–40.9958.89–72.45safer25.74–42.6657.21–74.13
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction324602927safe257–392536–669793–1060safer239–410518–686757–1096
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction61.9580.79safe57.92–65.9876.46–85.11safer56.62–67.2775.15–86.42
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7610.9422.70safe8.92–14.607.99–13.8816.92–28.48safer8.17–15.367.24–14.6315.41–29.98
Offsides
47%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.363.15safe0.62–2.940.27–2.460.89–5.40safer0.32–3.250.00–2.740.30–5.99
Yellow cards
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.553.39safe0.78–2.880.43–2.681.21–5.57safer0.52–3.150.13–2.980.65–6.12
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.070.17safe0.00–0.260.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.410.00–0.390.00–0.80
GK saves
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.532.246.77safe3.10–5.970.68–3.793.78–9.76safer2.71–6.360.26–4.222.96–10.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.89 0.00–1.86 0.00–2.11 | 2.20 1.35–3.05 1.12–3.28 | 3.09 1.27–4.91 0.79–5.39 | 14% 19% 67% |
| Shots on target | 3.28 1.42–5.15 0.93–5.64 | 6.46 4.72–8.20 4.25–8.67 | 9.74 6.14–13.35 5.18–14.30 | 81% |
| Total shots | 10.40 6.47–14.32 5.38–15.41 | 18.04 14.47–21.60 13.52–22.56 | 28.43 20.95–35.92 18.90–37.97 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 6.51 3.57–9.45 2.74–10.28 | 11.41 8.72–14.09 7.99–14.82 | 17.92 12.29–23.54 10.73–25.11 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 2.77 0.89–4.65 0.34–5.19 | 5.26 3.61–6.92 3.12–7.41 | 8.03 4.50–11.57 3.46–12.60 | 14% 76% |
| Corners | 4.02 1.81–6.23 1.23–6.81 | 6.42 4.42–8.42 3.89–8.95 | 10.44 6.23–14.65 5.12–15.76 | 18% 72% |
| Possession % | 34.20 27.41–40.99 25.74–42.66 | 65.67 58.89–72.45 57.21–74.13 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 324 257–392 239–410 | 602 536–669 518–686 | 927 793–1060 757–1096 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.95 57.92–65.98 56.62–67.27 | 80.79 76.46–85.11 75.15–86.42 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 11.76 8.92–14.60 8.17–15.36 | 10.94 7.99–13.88 7.24–14.63 | 22.70 16.92–28.48 15.41–29.98 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.25 | 1.36 0.27–2.46 0.00–2.74 | 3.15 0.89–5.40 0.30–5.99 | 47% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.88 0.52–3.15 | 1.55 0.43–2.68 0.13–2.98 | 3.39 1.21–5.57 0.65–6.12 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 4.53 3.10–5.97 2.71–6.36 | 2.24 0.68–3.79 0.26–4.22 | 6.77 3.78–9.76 2.96–10.57 | 76% 14% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.