Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
18%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.290.963.25safe1.32–3.260.11–1.821.43–5.08safer1.07–3.510.00–2.040.95–5.56
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.053.3610.41safe5.19–8.911.62–5.106.80–14.01safer4.70–9.401.15–5.575.85–14.97
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.729.1827.89safe14.79–22.645.61–12.7420.41–35.38safer13.70–23.734.66–13.7018.35–37.43
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction12.196.1418.33safe9.25–15.133.46–8.8212.71–23.95safer8.42–15.962.72–9.5611.14–25.52
Blocked shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.762.087.84safe3.88–7.650.43–3.734.31–11.38safer3.34–8.190.00–4.233.27–12.42
Corners
92%
homeawaytotalprediction8.303.0711.37safe6.08–10.511.07–5.077.16–15.58safer5.51–11.080.54–5.616.05–16.69
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction66.0833.69safe59.29–72.8726.90–40.47safer57.62–74.5425.23–42.14
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction663325988safe596–730259–392854–1122safer578–748241–409819–1157
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction79.6567.20safe75.62–83.6862.88–71.53safer74.33–84.9761.57–72.84
Fouls
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction9.1811.4820.66safe6.34–12.018.54–14.4314.87–26.44safer5.58–12.777.79–15.1713.37–27.94
Offsides
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.743.37safe0.47–2.790.65–2.831.12–5.62safer0.17–3.090.36–3.120.53–6.21
Yellow cards
19%
22%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.041.973.01safe0.00–2.090.84–3.100.83–5.19safer0.00–2.350.55–3.390.28–5.75
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
14%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.274.556.82safe0.83–3.702.99–6.103.82–9.81safer0.44–4.092.57–6.533.01–10.62
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.29 1.32–3.26 1.07–3.51 | 0.96 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.04 | 3.25 1.43–5.08 0.95–5.56 | 67% 18% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.05 5.19–8.91 4.70–9.40 | 3.36 1.62–5.10 1.15–5.57 | 10.41 6.80–14.01 5.85–14.97 | 84% |
| Total shots | 18.72 14.79–22.64 13.70–23.73 | 9.18 5.61–12.74 4.66–13.70 | 27.89 20.41–35.38 18.35–37.43 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.19 9.25–15.13 8.42–15.96 | 6.14 3.46–8.82 2.72–9.56 | 18.33 12.71–23.95 11.14–25.52 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 5.76 3.88–7.65 3.34–8.19 | 2.08 0.43–3.73 0.00–4.23 | 7.84 4.31–11.38 3.27–12.42 | 88% |
| Corners | 8.30 6.08–10.51 5.51–11.08 | 3.07 1.07–5.07 0.54–5.61 | 11.37 7.16–15.58 6.05–16.69 | 92% |
| Possession % | 66.08 59.29–72.87 57.62–74.54 | 33.69 26.90–40.47 25.23–42.14 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 663 596–730 578–748 | 325 259–392 241–409 | 988 854–1122 819–1157 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.65 75.62–83.68 74.33–84.97 | 67.20 62.88–71.53 61.57–72.84 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 9.18 6.34–12.01 5.58–12.77 | 11.48 8.54–14.43 7.79–15.17 | 20.66 14.87–26.44 13.37–27.94 | 27% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 1.74 0.65–2.83 0.36–3.12 | 3.37 1.12–5.62 0.53–6.21 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.04 0.00–2.09 0.00–2.35 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.01 0.83–5.19 0.28–5.75 | 19% 22% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.27 0.83–3.70 0.44–4.09 | 4.55 2.99–6.10 2.57–6.53 | 6.82 3.82–9.81 3.01–10.62 | 14% 75% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.