Eredivisie·Regular Season - 15·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.793.26safe0.50–2.440.94–2.651.44–5.08safer0.25–2.690.71–2.870.96–5.56
Shots on target
39%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.895.2910.18safe3.03–6.763.55–7.036.58–13.79safer2.54–7.253.08–7.505.62–14.74
Total shots
53%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3213.4427.76safe10.39–18.249.88–17.0020.27–35.25safer9.30–19.348.92–17.9618.22–37.30
Shots in box
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction9.669.9019.56safe6.72–12.607.22–12.5813.94–25.19safer5.89–13.436.49–13.3212.37–26.75
Blocked shots
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.234.068.30safe2.35–6.122.41–5.724.76–11.83safer1.81–6.661.92–6.213.73–12.87
Corners
43%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction5.145.2210.35safe2.92–7.353.22–7.226.14–14.57safer2.35–7.922.68–7.755.03–15.67
Possession %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction50.8251.09safe44.03–57.6144.30–57.87safer42.36–59.2842.63–59.54
Passes
47%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction455465919safe387–522398–531786–1053safer369–540381–549750–1089
Pass accuracy %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction72.7775.89safe68.75–76.8071.57–80.21safer67.45–78.1070.26–81.52
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5612.5623.12safe7.72–13.409.61–15.5017.34–28.90safer6.97–14.168.86–16.2515.83–30.41
Offsides
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.923.38safe0.29–2.610.83–3.021.12–5.63safer0.00–2.910.54–3.310.53–6.22
Yellow cards
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.883.68safe0.75–2.850.75–3.011.50–5.86safer0.48–3.110.46–3.300.94–6.41
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
49%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.553.136.69safe2.12–4.991.58–4.693.69–9.68safer1.73–5.381.15–5.112.88–10.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.47 0.50–2.44 0.25–2.69 | 1.79 0.94–2.65 0.71–2.87 | 3.26 1.44–5.08 0.96–5.56 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Shots on target | 4.89 3.03–6.76 2.54–7.25 | 5.29 3.55–7.03 3.08–7.50 | 10.18 6.58–13.79 5.62–14.74 | 39% 49% |
| Total shots | 14.32 10.39–18.24 9.30–19.34 | 13.44 9.88–17.00 8.92–17.96 | 27.76 20.27–35.25 18.22–37.30 | 53% 40% |
| Shots in box | 9.66 6.72–12.60 5.89–13.43 | 9.90 7.22–12.58 6.49–13.32 | 19.56 13.94–25.19 12.37–26.75 | 43% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 4.23 2.35–6.12 1.81–6.66 | 4.06 2.41–5.72 1.92–6.21 | 8.30 4.76–11.83 3.73–12.87 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Corners | 5.14 2.92–7.35 2.35–7.92 | 5.22 3.22–7.22 2.68–7.75 | 10.35 6.14–14.57 5.03–15.67 | 43% 45% |
| Possession % | 50.82 44.03–57.61 42.36–59.28 | 51.09 44.30–57.87 42.63–59.54 | — | 47% 48% |
| Passes | 455 387–522 369–540 | 465 398–531 381–549 | 919 786–1053 750–1089 | 47% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.77 68.75–76.80 67.45–78.10 | 75.89 71.57–80.21 70.26–81.52 | — | 32% 63% |
| Fouls | 10.56 7.72–13.40 6.97–14.16 | 12.56 9.61–15.50 8.86–16.25 | 23.12 17.34–28.90 15.83–30.41 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 1.92 0.83–3.02 0.54–3.31 | 3.38 1.12–5.63 0.53–6.22 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.48–3.11 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.68 1.50–5.86 0.94–6.41 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.55 2.12–4.99 1.73–5.38 | 3.13 1.58–4.69 1.15–5.11 | 6.69 3.69–9.68 2.88–10.49 | 49% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.