Eredivisie·Regular Season - 15·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
25%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.512.81safe0.34–2.270.65–2.360.99–4.64safer0.09–2.530.42–2.590.51–5.12
Shots on target
39%
13%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.544.869.40safe2.68–6.403.12–6.615.80–13.01safer2.19–6.892.65–7.074.84–13.96
Total shots
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3614.1827.54safe9.43–17.2810.62–17.7520.06–35.03safer8.34–18.379.66–18.7118.00–37.08
Shots in box
35%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction8.639.7218.34safe5.68–11.577.04–12.4012.72–23.97safer4.85–12.406.30–13.1411.15–25.53
Blocked shots
44%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.973.867.83safe2.09–5.852.20–5.514.29–11.36safer1.55–6.401.71–6.003.26–12.40
Corners
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.735.6810.40safe2.51–6.943.68–7.686.19–14.61safer1.94–7.513.14–8.215.08–15.72
Possession %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction50.7549.31safe43.96–57.5442.52–56.09safer42.29–59.2140.85–57.76
Passes
59%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction436407843safe369–503341–474710–977safer351–521323–491674–1013
Pass accuracy %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction65.4569.50safe61.42–69.4865.17–73.82safer60.13–70.7763.86–75.13
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2411.7123.95safe9.41–15.088.76–14.6518.17–29.73safer8.65–15.848.01–15.4016.66–31.24
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.593.40safe0.65–2.970.50–2.691.15–5.65safer0.35–3.270.21–2.970.56–6.24
Yellow cards
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.573.27safe0.65–2.740.44–2.701.09–5.45safer0.38–3.010.15–2.990.53–6.00
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.313.136.44safe1.88–4.751.57–4.683.45–9.43safer1.49–5.141.15–5.112.64–10.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.27 0.09–2.53 | 1.51 0.65–2.36 0.42–2.59 | 2.81 0.99–4.64 0.51–5.12 | 33% 25% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.54 2.68–6.40 2.19–6.89 | 4.86 3.12–6.61 2.65–7.07 | 9.40 5.80–13.01 4.84–13.96 | 39% 13% 48% |
| Total shots | 13.36 9.43–17.28 8.34–18.37 | 14.18 10.62–17.75 9.66–18.71 | 27.54 20.06–35.03 18.00–37.08 | 40% 52% |
| Shots in box | 8.63 5.68–11.57 4.85–12.40 | 9.72 7.04–12.40 6.30–13.14 | 18.34 12.72–23.97 11.15–25.53 | 35% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 3.97 2.09–5.85 1.55–6.40 | 3.86 2.20–5.51 1.71–6.00 | 7.83 4.29–11.36 3.26–12.40 | 44% 14% 41% |
| Corners | 4.73 2.51–6.94 1.94–7.51 | 5.68 3.68–7.68 3.14–8.21 | 10.40 6.19–14.61 5.08–15.72 | 33% 55% |
| Possession % | 50.75 43.96–57.54 42.29–59.21 | 49.31 42.52–56.09 40.85–57.76 | — | 51% 44% |
| Passes | 436 369–503 351–521 | 407 341–474 323–491 | 843 710–977 674–1013 | 59% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.45 61.42–69.48 60.13–70.77 | 69.50 65.17–73.82 63.86–75.13 | — | 28% 68% |
| Fouls | 12.24 9.41–15.08 8.65–15.84 | 11.71 8.76–14.65 8.01–15.40 | 23.95 18.17–29.73 16.66–31.24 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.59 0.50–2.69 0.21–2.97 | 3.40 1.15–5.65 0.56–6.24 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.74 0.38–3.01 | 1.57 0.44–2.70 0.15–2.99 | 3.27 1.09–5.45 0.53–6.00 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.31 1.88–4.75 1.49–5.14 | 3.13 1.57–4.68 1.15–5.11 | 6.44 3.45–9.43 2.64–10.25 | 45% 16% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+