Eredivisie·Regular Season - 15·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
19%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.322.313.63safe0.35–2.291.46–3.171.81–5.46safer0.10–2.541.23–3.401.33–5.93
Shots on target
22%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction4.376.3310.70safe2.51–6.244.58–8.077.09–14.30safer2.02–6.734.12–8.536.14–15.26
Total shots
21%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5016.3928.88safe8.57–16.4212.82–19.9521.39–36.37safer7.48–17.5111.86–20.9119.34–38.42
Shots in box
23%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction8.4011.1219.51safe5.46–11.348.44–13.8013.89–25.14safer4.63–12.177.70–14.5412.32–26.70
Blocked shots
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.635.348.96safe1.75–5.513.68–6.995.43–12.50safer1.20–6.053.19–7.484.39–13.54
Corners
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.725.6610.38safe2.51–6.933.66–7.666.17–14.60safer1.93–7.513.13–8.205.06–15.70
Possession %
22%
75%
homeawayprediction43.8956.15safe37.10–50.6849.37–62.94safer35.43–52.3547.69–64.61
Passes
17%
83%
homeawaytotalprediction410524934safe343–478458–590801–1068safer325–496440–608765–1104
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction65.7976.84safe61.76–69.8272.51–81.16safer60.47–71.1171.20–82.47
Fouls
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2510.0819.33safe6.41–12.097.13–13.0213.55–25.11safer5.66–12.846.39–13.7712.04–26.62
Offsides
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.323.08safe0.59–2.920.23–2.410.82–5.33safer0.29–3.220.00–2.700.23–5.92
Yellow cards
36%
26%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.412.75safe0.29–2.390.29–2.540.58–4.93safer0.02–2.650.00–2.840.02–5.49
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.060.13safe0.00–0.230.00–0.250.00–0.48safer0.00–0.380.00–0.380.00–0.76
GK saves
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.923.147.06safe2.48–5.351.58–4.694.06–10.05safer2.09–5.741.16–5.123.25–10.86
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 2.31 1.46–3.17 1.23–3.40 | 3.63 1.81–5.46 1.33–5.93 | 21% 19% 60% |
| Shots on target | 4.37 2.51–6.24 2.02–6.73 | 6.33 4.58–8.07 4.12–8.53 | 10.70 7.09–14.30 6.14–15.26 | 22% 67% |
| Total shots | 12.50 8.57–16.42 7.48–17.51 | 16.39 12.82–19.95 11.86–20.91 | 28.88 21.39–36.37 19.34–38.42 | 21% 74% |
| Shots in box | 8.40 5.46–11.34 4.63–12.17 | 11.12 8.44–13.80 7.70–14.54 | 19.51 13.89–25.14 12.32–26.70 | 23% 69% |
| Blocked shots | 3.63 1.75–5.51 1.20–6.05 | 5.34 3.68–6.99 3.19–7.48 | 8.96 5.43–12.50 4.39–13.54 | 23% 66% |
| Corners | 4.72 2.51–6.93 1.93–7.51 | 5.66 3.66–7.66 3.13–8.20 | 10.38 6.17–14.60 5.06–15.70 | 33% 55% |
| Possession % | 43.89 37.10–50.68 35.43–52.35 | 56.15 49.37–62.94 47.69–64.61 | — | 22% 75% |
| Passes | 410 343–478 325–496 | 524 458–590 440–608 | 934 801–1068 765–1104 | 17% 83% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.79 61.76–69.82 60.47–71.11 | 76.84 72.51–81.16 71.20–82.47 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 9.25 6.41–12.09 5.66–12.84 | 10.08 7.13–13.02 6.39–13.77 | 19.33 13.55–25.11 12.04–26.62 | 38% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.59–2.92 0.29–3.22 | 1.32 0.23–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 3.08 0.82–5.33 0.23–5.92 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.34 0.29–2.39 0.02–2.65 | 1.41 0.29–2.54 0.00–2.84 | 2.75 0.58–4.93 0.02–5.49 | 36% 26% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.92 2.48–5.35 2.09–5.74 | 3.14 1.58–4.69 1.16–5.12 | 7.06 4.06–10.05 3.25–10.86 | 54% 15% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.