Eredivisie·Regular Season - 15·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
19%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.271.003.27safe1.30–3.240.14–1.851.44–5.09safer1.05–3.490.00–2.080.96–5.57
Shots on target
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.473.6910.17safe4.61–8.341.95–5.446.56–13.77safer4.12–8.831.49–5.905.61–14.73
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction19.1910.5229.71safe15.26–23.116.96–14.0822.22–37.20safer14.17–24.206.00–15.0420.17–39.25
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction12.626.7819.40safe9.67–15.564.10–9.4613.77–25.02safer8.84–16.393.36–10.2012.21–26.59
Blocked shots
77%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction5.412.808.21safe3.53–7.301.14–4.454.68–11.75safer2.99–7.840.65–4.943.64–12.78
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction7.313.6810.99safe5.10–9.531.68–5.686.78–15.21safer4.53–10.101.15–6.215.67–16.31
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction62.6336.79safe55.84–69.4230.01–43.58safer54.17–71.0928.34–45.25
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction558338896safe491–626271–404762–1030safer473–644254–422727–1065
Pass accuracy %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction78.4770.90safe74.44–82.5066.57–75.22safer73.15–83.8065.26–76.53
Fouls
53%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6912.8526.55safe10.86–16.539.91–15.8020.77–32.33safer10.10–17.299.16–16.5519.26–33.84
Offsides
32%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.843.33safe0.33–2.650.75–2.931.08–5.59safer0.03–2.960.46–3.220.49–6.18
Yellow cards
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.973.43safe0.42–2.510.84–3.101.25–5.61safer0.15–2.780.55–3.390.70–6.17
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
18%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.544.477.00safe1.10–3.972.91–6.024.01–9.99safer0.71–4.362.48–6.453.20–10.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.27 1.30–3.24 1.05–3.49 | 1.00 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.08 | 3.27 1.44–5.09 0.96–5.57 | 66% 19% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.47 4.61–8.34 4.12–8.83 | 3.69 1.95–5.44 1.49–5.90 | 10.17 6.56–13.77 5.61–14.73 | 76% 15% |
| Total shots | 19.19 15.26–23.11 14.17–24.20 | 10.52 6.96–14.08 6.00–15.04 | 29.71 22.22–37.20 20.17–39.25 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 12.62 9.67–15.56 8.84–16.39 | 6.78 4.10–9.46 3.36–10.20 | 19.40 13.77–25.02 12.21–26.59 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 5.41 3.53–7.30 2.99–7.84 | 2.80 1.14–4.45 0.65–4.94 | 8.21 4.68–11.75 3.64–12.78 | 77% 13% |
| Corners | 7.31 5.10–9.53 4.53–10.10 | 3.68 1.68–5.68 1.15–6.21 | 10.99 6.78–15.21 5.67–16.31 | 83% |
| Possession % | 62.63 55.84–69.42 54.17–71.09 | 36.79 30.01–43.58 28.34–45.25 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 558 491–626 473–644 | 338 271–404 254–422 | 896 762–1030 727–1065 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.47 74.44–82.50 73.15–83.80 | 70.90 66.57–75.22 65.26–76.53 | — | 82% 15% |
| Fouls | 13.69 10.86–16.53 10.10–17.29 | 12.85 9.91–15.80 9.16–16.55 | 26.55 20.77–32.33 19.26–33.84 | 53% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.49 0.33–2.65 0.03–2.96 | 1.84 0.75–2.93 0.46–3.22 | 3.33 1.08–5.59 0.49–6.18 | 32% 23% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.46 0.42–2.51 0.15–2.78 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.43 1.25–5.61 0.70–6.17 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.54 1.10–3.97 0.71–4.36 | 4.47 2.91–6.02 2.48–6.45 | 7.00 4.01–9.99 3.20–10.81 | 18% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.