Eredivisie·Regular Season - 15·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
27%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.132.50safe0.39–2.330.28–1.990.67–4.32safer0.14–2.580.05–2.220.19–4.80
Shots on target
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.353.878.22safe2.49–6.212.13–5.614.62–11.83safer2.00–6.701.66–6.083.66–12.78
Total shots
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9711.7225.69safe10.05–17.908.16–15.2818.21–33.18safer8.96–18.997.20–16.2416.15–35.23
Shots in box
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction8.687.4916.17safe5.74–11.624.81–10.1710.55–21.79safer4.91–12.454.07–10.918.98–23.36
Blocked shots
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.913.137.04safe2.02–5.791.48–4.783.50–10.57safer1.48–6.330.99–5.282.47–11.61
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.194.759.93safe2.97–7.402.75–6.755.72–14.15safer2.40–7.972.21–7.284.61–15.25
Possession %
58%
38%
homeawayprediction52.4148.14safe45.62–59.2041.36–54.93safer43.95–60.8739.69–56.60
Passes
62%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction440403843safe373–508336–469710–977safer355–526319–487674–1013
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction69.5470.11safe65.51–73.5765.79–74.44safer64.22–74.8664.48–75.75
Fouls
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5512.6623.21safe7.72–13.399.71–15.6017.43–28.99safer6.96–14.158.96–16.3515.92–30.50
Offsides
33%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.693.15safe0.30–2.620.60–2.780.90–5.40safer0.00–2.920.31–3.070.31–5.99
Yellow cards
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.622.113.74safe0.57–2.670.99–3.241.56–5.92safer0.31–2.940.69–3.541.00–6.47
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
36%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.632.965.59safe1.19–4.071.40–4.522.60–8.58safer0.81–4.450.98–4.941.78–9.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.33 0.14–2.58 | 1.13 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.22 | 2.50 0.67–4.32 0.19–4.80 | 42% 27% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.35 2.49–6.21 2.00–6.70 | 3.87 2.13–5.61 1.66–6.08 | 8.22 4.62–11.83 3.66–12.78 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Total shots | 13.97 10.05–17.90 8.96–18.99 | 11.72 8.16–15.28 7.20–16.24 | 25.69 18.21–33.18 16.15–35.23 | 63% 29% |
| Shots in box | 8.68 5.74–11.62 4.91–12.45 | 7.49 4.81–10.17 4.07–10.91 | 16.17 10.55–21.79 8.98–23.36 | 57% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 3.91 2.02–5.79 1.48–6.33 | 3.13 1.48–4.78 0.99–5.28 | 7.04 3.50–10.57 2.47–11.61 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.19 2.97–7.40 2.40–7.97 | 4.75 2.75–6.75 2.21–7.28 | 9.93 5.72–14.15 4.61–15.25 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 52.41 45.62–59.20 43.95–60.87 | 48.14 41.36–54.93 39.69–56.60 | — | 58% 38% |
| Passes | 440 373–508 355–526 | 403 336–469 319–487 | 843 710–977 674–1013 | 62% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.54 65.51–73.57 64.22–74.86 | 70.11 65.79–74.44 64.48–75.75 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 10.55 7.72–13.39 6.96–14.15 | 12.66 9.71–15.60 8.96–16.35 | 23.21 17.43–28.99 15.92–30.50 | 29% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 1.69 0.60–2.78 0.31–3.07 | 3.15 0.90–5.40 0.31–5.99 | 33% 23% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.31–2.94 | 2.11 0.99–3.24 0.69–3.54 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.00–6.47 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.19–4.07 0.81–4.45 | 2.96 1.40–4.52 0.98–4.94 | 5.59 2.60–8.58 1.78–9.39 | 36% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+