Eredivisie·Regular Season - 15·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.423.09safe0.70–2.640.57–2.281.27–4.91safer0.45–2.890.34–2.500.79–5.39
Shots on target
49%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.344.9410.29safe3.48–7.213.20–6.696.68–13.89safer2.99–7.702.74–7.155.73–14.85
Total shots
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5613.7428.30safe10.63–18.4810.18–17.3020.81–35.79safer9.54–19.589.22–18.2618.76–37.84
Shots in box
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction9.478.2217.69safe6.53–12.415.54–10.9012.06–23.31safer5.70–13.244.80–11.6410.50–24.88
Blocked shots
41%
15%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.843.947.78safe1.96–5.722.29–5.604.25–11.32safer1.41–6.271.80–6.093.21–12.35
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.384.9310.30safe3.16–7.592.93–6.936.09–14.52safer2.59–8.162.40–7.464.98–15.63
Possession %
41%
55%
homeawayprediction48.6151.60safe41.82–55.4044.82–58.39safer40.15–57.0743.14–60.06
Passes
41%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction439465904safe372–506398–531770–1038safer354–524381–549735–1073
Pass accuracy %
24%
71%
homeawayprediction68.9373.79safe64.90–72.9669.47–78.11safer63.61–74.2668.16–79.42
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9611.8322.80safe8.12–13.808.89–14.7817.01–28.58safer7.37–14.558.14–15.5315.51–30.08
Offsides
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.683.46safe0.62–2.940.58–2.771.20–5.71safer0.32–3.240.29–3.060.61–6.30
Yellow cards
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.803.50safe0.65–2.750.67–2.931.32–5.68safer0.39–3.020.38–3.220.77–6.24
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
36%
15%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.293.717.00safe1.86–4.732.15–5.274.01–9.99safer1.47–5.121.73–5.693.20–10.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.67 0.70–2.64 0.45–2.89 | 1.42 0.57–2.28 0.34–2.50 | 3.09 1.27–4.91 0.79–5.39 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Shots on target | 5.34 3.48–7.21 2.99–7.70 | 4.94 3.20–6.69 2.74–7.15 | 10.29 6.68–13.89 5.73–14.85 | 49% 39% |
| Total shots | 14.56 10.63–18.48 9.54–19.58 | 13.74 10.18–17.30 9.22–18.26 | 28.30 20.81–35.79 18.76–37.84 | 52% 40% |
| Shots in box | 9.47 6.53–12.41 5.70–13.24 | 8.22 5.54–10.90 4.80–11.64 | 17.69 12.06–23.31 10.50–24.88 | 57% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 3.84 1.96–5.72 1.41–6.27 | 3.94 2.29–5.60 1.80–6.09 | 7.78 4.25–11.32 3.21–12.35 | 41% 15% 44% |
| Corners | 5.38 3.16–7.59 2.59–8.16 | 4.93 2.93–6.93 2.40–7.46 | 10.30 6.09–14.52 4.98–15.63 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 48.61 41.82–55.40 40.15–57.07 | 51.60 44.82–58.39 43.14–60.06 | — | 41% 55% |
| Passes | 439 372–506 354–524 | 465 398–531 381–549 | 904 770–1038 735–1073 | 41% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.93 64.90–72.96 63.61–74.26 | 73.79 69.47–78.11 68.16–79.42 | — | 24% 71% |
| Fouls | 10.96 8.12–13.80 7.37–14.55 | 11.83 8.89–14.78 8.14–15.53 | 22.80 17.01–28.58 15.51–30.08 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 1.68 0.58–2.77 0.29–3.06 | 3.46 1.20–5.71 0.61–6.30 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.39–3.02 | 1.80 0.67–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 3.50 1.32–5.68 0.77–6.24 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.29 1.86–4.73 1.47–5.12 | 3.71 2.15–5.27 1.73–5.69 | 7.00 4.01–9.99 3.20–10.81 | 36% 15% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.