Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.793.01safe0.25–2.190.93–2.641.19–4.83safer0.00–2.440.70–2.870.71–5.31
Shots on target
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.245.469.70safe2.38–6.103.72–7.216.10–13.31safer1.89–6.593.26–7.675.14–14.26
Total shots
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4214.3727.80safe9.50–17.3510.81–17.9420.31–35.28safer8.41–18.449.85–18.9018.26–37.33
Shots in box
44%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction9.079.1518.22safe6.12–12.016.47–11.8312.59–23.84safer5.29–12.845.73–12.5711.03–25.41
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.653.216.86safe1.77–5.531.55–4.863.32–10.39safer1.23–6.081.06–5.352.29–11.43
Corners
36%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.945.6010.54safe2.73–7.153.60–7.606.32–14.75safer2.15–7.733.06–8.135.21–15.86
Possession %
26%
71%
homeawayprediction45.2955.42safe38.50–52.0848.63–62.20safer36.83–53.7546.96–63.87
Passes
23%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction383471854safe316–450405–538721–988safer298–468387–555685–1024
Pass accuracy %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction64.8472.48safe60.81–68.8768.15–76.80safer59.52–70.1666.84–78.11
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9211.7322.65safe8.09–13.768.79–14.6816.87–28.44safer7.33–14.528.04–15.4215.37–29.94
Offsides
38%
26%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.352.75safe0.24–2.560.26–2.450.50–5.01safer0.00–2.860.00–2.740.00–5.59
Yellow cards
32%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.803.27safe0.42–2.520.67–2.931.09–5.45safer0.15–2.790.38–3.220.54–6.01
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.642.936.57safe2.21–5.081.37–4.483.58–9.56safer1.82–5.460.95–4.912.76–10.37
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.79 0.93–2.64 0.70–2.87 | 3.01 1.19–4.83 0.71–5.31 | 26% 23% 51% |
| Shots on target | 4.24 2.38–6.10 1.89–6.59 | 5.46 3.72–7.21 3.26–7.67 | 9.70 6.10–13.31 5.14–14.26 | 29% 59% |
| Total shots | 13.42 9.50–17.35 8.41–18.44 | 14.37 10.81–17.94 9.85–18.90 | 27.80 20.31–35.28 18.26–37.33 | 39% 53% |
| Shots in box | 9.07 6.12–12.01 5.29–12.84 | 9.15 6.47–11.83 5.73–12.57 | 18.22 12.59–23.84 11.03–25.41 | 44% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 3.65 1.77–5.53 1.23–6.08 | 3.21 1.55–4.86 1.06–5.35 | 6.86 3.32–10.39 2.29–11.43 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 4.94 2.73–7.15 2.15–7.73 | 5.60 3.60–7.60 3.06–8.13 | 10.54 6.32–14.75 5.21–15.86 | 36% 52% |
| Possession % | 45.29 38.50–52.08 36.83–53.75 | 55.42 48.63–62.20 46.96–63.87 | — | 26% 71% |
| Passes | 383 316–450 298–468 | 471 405–538 387–555 | 854 721–988 685–1024 | 23% 77% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.84 60.81–68.87 59.52–70.16 | 72.48 68.15–76.80 66.84–78.11 | — | 15% 82% |
| Fouls | 10.92 8.09–13.76 7.33–14.52 | 11.73 8.79–14.68 8.04–15.42 | 22.65 16.87–28.44 15.37–29.94 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.40 0.24–2.56 0.00–2.86 | 1.35 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 2.75 0.50–5.01 0.00–5.59 | 38% 26% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.42–2.52 0.15–2.79 | 1.80 0.67–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 3.27 1.09–5.45 0.54–6.01 | 32% 23% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.64 2.21–5.08 1.82–5.46 | 2.93 1.37–4.48 0.95–4.91 | 6.57 3.58–9.56 2.76–10.37 | 53% 15% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.