Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction0.962.643.61safe0.00–1.931.79–3.501.78–5.43safer0.00–2.181.56–3.721.30–5.91
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction3.437.4010.83safe1.56–5.295.66–9.147.22–14.43safer1.07–5.785.19–9.616.27–15.39
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8919.5330.43safe6.97–14.8215.97–23.1022.94–37.91safer5.87–15.9115.01–24.0620.89–39.96
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction5.8913.1719.06safe2.95–8.8310.48–15.8513.43–24.68safer2.12–9.669.75–16.5811.87–26.25
Blocked shots
19%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.974.877.84safe1.08–4.853.22–6.524.30–11.37safer0.54–5.392.73–7.023.27–12.41
Corners
19%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction4.076.4310.49safe1.85–6.284.43–8.436.28–14.70safer1.28–6.853.89–8.965.17–15.81
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction40.0060.31safe33.21–46.7953.53–67.10safer31.54–48.4651.86–68.77
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction372562934safe305–439496–629801–1068safer287–457478–646765–1104
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction62.1475.12safe58.11–66.1770.80–79.45safer56.82–67.4669.49–80.76
Fouls
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2810.1520.43safe7.44–13.127.21–13.1014.65–26.22safer6.69–13.886.46–13.8413.15–27.72
Offsides
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.703.25safe0.39–2.710.61–2.791.00–5.51safer0.09–3.010.32–3.080.41–6.09
Yellow cards
46%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.262.89safe0.58–2.680.13–2.390.71–5.07safer0.32–2.950.00–2.680.16–5.63
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.250.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.512.426.93safe3.07–5.950.86–3.973.94–9.92safer2.69–6.330.44–4.403.12–10.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.96 0.00–1.93 0.00–2.18 | 2.64 1.79–3.50 1.56–3.72 | 3.61 1.78–5.43 1.30–5.91 | 16% 73% |
| Shots on target | 3.43 1.56–5.29 1.07–5.78 | 7.40 5.66–9.14 5.19–9.61 | 10.83 7.22–14.43 6.27–15.39 | 86% |
| Total shots | 10.89 6.97–14.82 5.87–15.91 | 19.53 15.97–23.10 15.01–24.06 | 30.43 22.94–37.91 20.89–39.96 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 5.89 2.95–8.83 2.12–9.66 | 13.17 10.48–15.85 9.75–16.58 | 19.06 13.43–24.68 11.87–26.25 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 2.97 1.08–4.85 0.54–5.39 | 4.87 3.22–6.52 2.73–7.02 | 7.84 4.30–11.37 3.27–12.41 | 19% 69% |
| Corners | 4.07 1.85–6.28 1.28–6.85 | 6.43 4.43–8.43 3.89–8.96 | 10.49 6.28–14.70 5.17–15.81 | 19% 72% |
| Possession % | 40.00 33.21–46.79 31.54–48.46 | 60.31 53.53–67.10 51.86–68.77 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 372 305–439 287–457 | 562 496–629 478–646 | 934 801–1068 765–1104 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.14 58.11–66.17 56.82–67.46 | 75.12 70.80–79.45 69.49–80.76 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 10.28 7.44–13.12 6.69–13.88 | 10.15 7.21–13.10 6.46–13.84 | 20.43 14.65–26.22 13.15–27.72 | 47% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.09–3.01 | 1.70 0.61–2.79 0.32–3.08 | 3.25 1.00–5.51 0.41–6.09 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.58–2.68 0.32–2.95 | 1.26 0.13–2.39 0.00–2.68 | 2.89 0.71–5.07 0.16–5.63 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 4.51 3.07–5.95 2.69–6.33 | 2.42 0.86–3.97 0.44–4.40 | 6.93 3.94–9.92 3.12–10.73 | 73% 16% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.