Predicted match statistics
Goals
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.930.763.69safe1.96–3.900.00–1.611.87–5.51safer1.71–4.150.00–1.841.39–5.99
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction7.782.7310.51safe5.92–9.640.98–4.476.90–14.11safer5.43–10.130.52–4.935.95–15.07
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction20.068.2728.34safe16.14–23.994.71–11.8320.85–35.82safer15.05–25.083.75–12.7918.80–37.87
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction13.445.3518.79safe10.50–16.392.67–8.0313.17–24.42safer9.67–17.221.93–8.7711.60–25.98
Blocked shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.382.047.42safe3.50–7.260.39–3.693.88–10.95safer2.95–7.800.00–4.182.85–11.99
Corners
95%
homeawaytotalprediction8.382.5210.90safe6.17–10.590.52–4.526.69–15.12safer5.59–11.170.00–5.065.58–16.22
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction68.0031.57safe61.21–74.7924.79–38.36safer59.54–76.4623.12–40.03
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction670296966safe603–737230–363832–1100safer585–755212–380797–1135
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction82.6868.92safe78.65–86.7164.60–73.25safer77.36–88.0063.29–74.55
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8711.8423.71safe9.04–14.718.89–14.7817.93–29.49safer8.28–15.478.15–15.5316.43–31.00
Offsides
37%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.763.45safe0.53–2.850.67–2.861.20–5.70safer0.22–3.150.38–3.150.61–6.29
Yellow cards
25%
22%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.973.24safe0.22–2.320.84–3.101.06–5.42safer0.00–2.590.55–3.390.50–5.97
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.15safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.014.696.70safe0.57–3.443.13–6.253.70–9.69safer0.18–3.832.71–6.672.89–10.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.93 1.96–3.90 1.71–4.15 | 0.76 0.00–1.61 0.00–1.84 | 3.69 1.87–5.51 1.39–5.99 | 81% |
| Shots on target | 7.78 5.92–9.64 5.43–10.13 | 2.73 0.98–4.47 0.52–4.93 | 10.51 6.90–14.11 5.95–15.07 | 93% |
| Total shots | 20.06 16.14–23.99 15.05–25.08 | 8.27 4.71–11.83 3.75–12.79 | 28.34 20.85–35.82 18.80–37.87 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.44 10.50–16.39 9.67–17.22 | 5.35 2.67–8.03 1.93–8.77 | 18.79 13.17–24.42 11.60–25.98 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.38 3.50–7.26 2.95–7.80 | 2.04 0.39–3.69 0.00–4.18 | 7.42 3.88–10.95 2.85–11.99 | 86% |
| Corners | 8.38 6.17–10.59 5.59–11.17 | 2.52 0.52–4.52 0.00–5.06 | 10.90 6.69–15.12 5.58–16.22 | 95% |
| Possession % | 68.00 61.21–74.79 59.54–76.46 | 31.57 24.79–38.36 23.12–40.03 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 670 603–737 585–755 | 296 230–363 212–380 | 966 832–1100 797–1135 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.68 78.65–86.71 77.36–88.00 | 68.92 64.60–73.25 63.29–74.55 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 11.87 9.04–14.71 8.28–15.47 | 11.84 8.89–14.78 8.15–15.53 | 23.71 17.93–29.49 16.43–31.00 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.22–3.15 | 1.76 0.67–2.86 0.38–3.15 | 3.45 1.20–5.70 0.61–6.29 | 37% 22% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.27 0.22–2.32 0.00–2.59 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.24 1.06–5.42 0.50–5.97 | 25% 22% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.01 0.57–3.44 0.18–3.83 | 4.69 3.13–6.25 2.71–6.67 | 6.70 3.70–9.69 2.89–10.50 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.