Eredivisie·Regular Season - 16·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.390.913.31safe1.43–3.360.06–1.771.48–5.13safer1.18–3.610.00–2.001.00–5.61
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.993.4210.41safe5.13–8.851.67–5.166.80–14.01safer4.64–9.341.21–5.635.85–14.97
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.398.8827.28safe14.47–22.325.32–12.4419.79–34.76safer13.38–23.414.36–13.4017.74–36.81
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction12.255.6917.95safe9.31–15.203.01–8.3812.33–23.57safer8.48–16.032.28–9.1110.76–25.14
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction4.722.276.99safe2.84–6.600.61–3.923.45–10.53safer2.30–7.150.12–4.412.42–11.56
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.823.3410.15safe4.60–9.031.34–5.345.94–14.37safer4.03–9.600.80–5.874.83–15.47
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.6737.81safe54.88–68.4631.03–44.60safer53.21–70.1329.36–46.27
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction592370963safe525–660304–437829–1096safer507–678286–454793–1132
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction79.9870.04safe75.95–84.0165.72–74.37safer74.66–85.3064.41–75.68
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1411.8823.02safe8.30–13.988.93–14.8217.24–28.80safer7.55–14.748.18–15.5715.73–30.31
Offsides
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.763.75safe0.83–3.150.66–2.851.50–6.00safer0.53–3.460.37–3.140.91–6.59
Yellow cards
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.362.003.36safe0.31–2.410.87–3.131.18–5.54safer0.05–2.680.58–3.420.62–6.10
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.324.516.82safe0.88–3.762.95–6.063.83–9.82safer0.50–4.142.53–6.493.02–10.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.39 1.43–3.36 1.18–3.61 | 0.91 0.06–1.77 0.00–2.00 | 3.31 1.48–5.13 1.00–5.61 | 70% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.99 5.13–8.85 4.64–9.34 | 3.42 1.67–5.16 1.21–5.63 | 10.41 6.80–14.01 5.85–14.97 | 83% |
| Total shots | 18.39 14.47–22.32 13.38–23.41 | 8.88 5.32–12.44 4.36–13.40 | 27.28 19.79–34.76 17.74–36.81 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.25 9.31–15.20 8.48–16.03 | 5.69 3.01–8.38 2.28–9.11 | 17.95 12.33–23.57 10.76–25.14 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 4.72 2.84–6.60 2.30–7.15 | 2.27 0.61–3.92 0.12–4.41 | 6.99 3.45–10.53 2.42–11.56 | 77% |
| Corners | 6.82 4.60–9.03 4.03–9.60 | 3.34 1.34–5.34 0.80–5.87 | 10.15 5.94–14.37 4.83–15.47 | 83% |
| Possession % | 61.67 54.88–68.46 53.21–70.13 | 37.81 31.03–44.60 29.36–46.27 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 592 525–660 507–678 | 370 304–437 286–454 | 963 829–1096 793–1132 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.98 75.95–84.01 74.66–85.30 | 70.04 65.72–74.37 64.41–75.68 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 11.14 8.30–13.98 7.55–14.74 | 11.88 8.93–14.82 8.18–15.57 | 23.02 17.24–28.80 15.73–30.31 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.99 0.83–3.15 0.53–3.46 | 1.76 0.66–2.85 0.37–3.14 | 3.75 1.50–6.00 0.91–6.59 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.36 0.31–2.41 0.05–2.68 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 3.36 1.18–5.54 0.62–6.10 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.32 0.88–3.76 0.50–4.14 | 4.51 2.95–6.06 2.53–6.49 | 6.82 3.83–9.82 3.02–10.63 | 15% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.