Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
20%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.072.133.20safe0.10–2.031.28–2.991.38–5.02safer0.00–2.291.05–3.220.90–5.50
Shots on target
19%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.856.109.95safe1.99–5.724.36–7.846.35–13.56safer1.50–6.203.89–8.315.39–14.51
Total shots
20%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8915.7427.63safe7.97–15.8212.18–19.3020.14–35.12safer6.88–16.9111.22–20.2618.09–37.17
Shots in box
15%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction7.1210.9018.02safe4.18–10.068.22–13.5812.39–23.64safer3.35–10.897.48–14.3210.83–25.21
Blocked shots
28%
13%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.334.497.82safe1.45–5.222.83–6.144.29–11.36safer0.91–5.762.34–6.633.25–12.39
Corners
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.425.539.95safe2.21–6.633.53–7.535.74–14.17safer1.63–7.213.00–8.074.63–15.27
Possession %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction45.3755.10safe38.58–52.1648.31–61.88safer36.91–53.8346.64–63.56
Passes
20%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction402503905safe334–469437–569771–1038safer316–487419–587735–1074
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction63.8774.13safe59.84–67.9069.80–78.45safer58.55–69.1968.50–79.76
Fouls
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8411.1621.00safe7.00–12.688.22–14.1115.22–26.78safer6.25–13.437.47–14.8613.72–28.29
Offsides
39%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.473.01safe0.38–2.700.38–2.560.76–5.26safer0.08–3.000.09–2.850.17–5.85
Yellow cards
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.563.07safe0.46–2.560.44–2.690.90–5.25safer0.19–2.820.14–2.990.34–5.81
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
59%
15%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.762.686.44safe2.33–5.201.12–4.233.45–9.43safer1.94–5.590.70–4.662.63–10.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.07 0.10–2.03 0.00–2.29 | 2.13 1.28–2.99 1.05–3.22 | 3.20 1.38–5.02 0.90–5.50 | 18% 20% 62% |
| Shots on target | 3.85 1.99–5.72 1.50–6.20 | 6.10 4.36–7.84 3.89–8.31 | 9.95 6.35–13.56 5.39–14.51 | 19% 71% |
| Total shots | 11.89 7.97–15.82 6.88–16.91 | 15.74 12.18–19.30 11.22–20.26 | 27.63 20.14–35.12 18.09–37.17 | 20% 74% |
| Shots in box | 7.12 4.18–10.06 3.35–10.89 | 10.90 8.22–13.58 7.48–14.32 | 18.02 12.39–23.64 10.83–25.21 | 15% 78% |
| Blocked shots | 3.33 1.45–5.22 0.91–5.76 | 4.49 2.83–6.14 2.34–6.63 | 7.82 4.29–11.36 3.25–12.39 | 28% 13% 59% |
| Corners | 4.42 2.21–6.63 1.63–7.21 | 5.53 3.53–7.53 3.00–8.07 | 9.95 5.74–14.17 4.63–15.27 | 30% 58% |
| Possession % | 45.37 38.58–52.16 36.91–53.83 | 55.10 48.31–61.88 46.64–63.56 | — | 26% 70% |
| Passes | 402 334–469 316–487 | 503 437–569 419–587 | 905 771–1038 735–1074 | 20% 80% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.87 59.84–67.90 58.55–69.19 | 74.13 69.80–78.45 68.50–79.76 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 9.84 7.00–12.68 6.25–13.43 | 11.16 8.22–14.11 7.47–14.86 | 21.00 15.22–26.78 13.72–28.29 | 34% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 1.47 0.38–2.56 0.09–2.85 | 3.01 0.76–5.26 0.17–5.85 | 39% 24% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.19–2.82 | 1.56 0.44–2.69 0.14–2.99 | 3.07 0.90–5.25 0.34–5.81 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.76 2.33–5.20 1.94–5.59 | 2.68 1.12–4.23 0.70–4.66 | 6.44 3.45–9.43 2.63–10.24 | 59% 15% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.