Eredivisie·Regular Season - 16·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.363.21safe0.88–2.820.51–2.221.39–5.04safer0.63–3.070.28–2.450.91–5.51
Shots on target
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.754.5110.26safe3.89–7.612.77–6.256.66–13.87safer3.40–8.102.30–6.725.70–14.82
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction17.5712.2229.79safe13.65–21.508.66–15.7922.31–37.28safer12.55–22.597.70–16.7420.26–39.33
Shots in box
73%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction11.498.3019.79safe8.55–14.445.62–10.9814.17–25.42safer7.72–15.264.88–11.7212.60–26.98
Blocked shots
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.893.379.26safe4.01–7.771.72–5.025.73–12.80safer3.47–8.321.23–5.524.69–13.83
Corners
73%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.804.3011.10safe4.58–9.012.30–6.306.88–15.31safer4.01–9.581.77–6.845.78–16.42
Possession %
80%
16%
homeawayprediction58.0442.53safe51.25–64.8335.74–49.31safer49.58–66.5034.07–50.99
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction540387927safe473–607320–453793–1060safer454–625303–471757–1096
Pass accuracy %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction75.3971.28safe71.36–79.4266.96–75.61safer70.07–80.7165.65–76.92
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9110.7020.61safe7.07–12.747.76–13.6514.83–26.39safer6.31–13.507.01–14.3913.32–27.90
Offsides
30%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.703.01safe0.15–2.470.61–2.790.76–5.27safer0.00–2.770.32–3.080.17–5.86
Yellow cards
29%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.672.94safe0.21–2.310.55–2.800.76–5.12safer0.00–2.580.25–3.090.20–5.67
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.070.11safe0.00–0.200.00–0.250.00–0.46safer0.00–0.350.00–0.390.00–0.74
GK saves
31%
15%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.174.007.17safe1.73–4.602.44–5.564.18–10.16safer1.34–4.992.02–5.983.36–10.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.85 0.88–2.82 0.63–3.07 | 1.36 0.51–2.22 0.28–2.45 | 3.21 1.39–5.04 0.91–5.51 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.75 3.89–7.61 3.40–8.10 | 4.51 2.77–6.25 2.30–6.72 | 10.26 6.66–13.87 5.70–14.82 | 59% 29% |
| Total shots | 17.57 13.65–21.50 12.55–22.59 | 12.22 8.66–15.79 7.70–16.74 | 29.79 22.31–37.28 20.26–39.33 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 11.49 8.55–14.44 7.72–15.26 | 8.30 5.62–10.98 4.88–11.72 | 19.79 14.17–25.42 12.60–26.98 | 73% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 5.89 4.01–7.77 3.47–8.32 | 3.37 1.72–5.02 1.23–5.52 | 9.26 5.73–12.80 4.69–13.83 | 75% 16% |
| Corners | 6.80 4.58–9.01 4.01–9.58 | 4.30 2.30–6.30 1.77–6.84 | 11.10 6.88–15.31 5.78–16.42 | 73% 18% |
| Possession % | 58.04 51.25–64.83 49.58–66.50 | 42.53 35.74–49.31 34.07–50.99 | — | 80% 16% |
| Passes | 540 473–607 454–625 | 387 320–453 303–471 | 927 793–1060 757–1096 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.39 71.36–79.42 70.07–80.71 | 71.28 66.96–75.61 65.65–76.92 | — | 68% 28% |
| Fouls | 9.91 7.07–12.74 6.31–13.50 | 10.70 7.76–13.65 7.01–14.39 | 20.61 14.83–26.39 13.32–27.90 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.31 0.15–2.47 0.00–2.77 | 1.70 0.61–2.79 0.32–3.08 | 3.01 0.76–5.27 0.17–5.86 | 30% 24% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.26 0.21–2.31 0.00–2.58 | 1.67 0.55–2.80 0.25–3.09 | 2.94 0.76–5.12 0.20–5.67 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.74 | 90% |
| GK saves | 3.17 1.73–4.60 1.34–4.99 | 4.00 2.44–5.56 2.02–5.98 | 7.17 4.18–10.16 3.36–10.97 | 31% 15% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.