Eredivisie·Regular Season - 16·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.930.823.75safe1.96–3.900.00–1.681.93–5.58safer1.71–4.150.00–1.911.45–6.06
Shots on target
92%
homeawaytotalprediction8.203.1011.30safe6.34–10.061.36–4.847.69–14.91safer5.85–10.550.89–5.316.74–15.86
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.898.8330.72safe17.96–25.815.27–12.4023.24–38.21safer16.87–26.914.31–13.3621.19–40.26
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction14.676.1820.84safe11.73–17.613.49–8.8615.22–26.47safer10.90–18.442.76–9.5913.65–28.03
Blocked shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.162.568.72safe4.28–8.040.91–4.215.18–12.25safer3.73–8.580.41–4.704.15–13.29
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction8.133.1511.28safe5.92–10.341.15–5.157.06–15.49safer5.34–10.920.61–5.685.96–16.60
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.7635.76safe56.97–70.5528.98–42.55safer55.30–72.2227.30–44.22
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction581318899safe513–648252–384765–1032safer495–666234–402729–1068
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction79.8368.02safe75.80–83.8663.70–72.35safer74.51–85.1662.39–73.66
Fouls
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5310.1621.69safe8.70–14.377.22–13.1015.91–27.48safer7.94–15.136.47–13.8514.41–28.98
Offsides
46%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.262.89safe0.47–2.790.17–2.360.63–5.14safer0.16–3.090.00–2.640.05–5.73
Yellow cards
22%
23%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.842.93safe0.04–2.140.71–2.970.75–5.11safer0.00–2.410.42–3.260.20–5.67
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
84%
homeawaytotalprediction2.135.367.49safe0.70–3.573.80–6.924.50–10.48safer0.31–3.963.38–7.343.69–11.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.93 1.96–3.90 1.71–4.15 | 0.82 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.91 | 3.75 1.93–5.58 1.45–6.06 | 80% |
| Shots on target | 8.20 6.34–10.06 5.85–10.55 | 3.10 1.36–4.84 0.89–5.31 | 11.30 7.69–14.91 6.74–15.86 | 92% |
| Total shots | 21.89 17.96–25.81 16.87–26.91 | 8.83 5.27–12.40 4.31–13.36 | 30.72 23.24–38.21 21.19–40.26 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.67 11.73–17.61 10.90–18.44 | 6.18 3.49–8.86 2.76–9.59 | 20.84 15.22–26.47 13.65–28.03 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 6.16 4.28–8.04 3.73–8.58 | 2.56 0.91–4.21 0.41–4.70 | 8.72 5.18–12.25 4.15–13.29 | 86% |
| Corners | 8.13 5.92–10.34 5.34–10.92 | 3.15 1.15–5.15 0.61–5.68 | 11.28 7.06–15.49 5.96–16.60 | 91% |
| Possession % | 63.76 56.97–70.55 55.30–72.22 | 35.76 28.98–42.55 27.30–44.22 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 581 513–648 495–666 | 318 252–384 234–402 | 899 765–1032 729–1068 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.83 75.80–83.86 74.51–85.16 | 68.02 63.70–72.35 62.39–73.66 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 11.53 8.70–14.37 7.94–15.13 | 10.16 7.22–13.10 6.47–13.85 | 21.69 15.91–27.48 14.41–28.98 | 57% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.16–3.09 | 1.26 0.17–2.36 0.00–2.64 | 2.89 0.63–5.14 0.05–5.73 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.09 0.04–2.14 0.00–2.41 | 1.84 0.71–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 2.93 0.75–5.11 0.20–5.67 | 22% 23% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.13 0.70–3.57 0.31–3.96 | 5.36 3.80–6.92 3.38–7.34 | 7.49 4.50–10.48 3.69–11.30 | 84% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.