Eredivisie·Regular Season - 16·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.830.913.74safe1.87–3.800.06–1.761.92–5.57safer1.62–4.050.00–1.991.44–6.05
Shots on target
91%
homeawaytotalprediction8.233.3311.56safe6.37–10.091.59–5.087.96–15.17safer5.88–10.581.12–5.547.00–16.12
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction23.469.0532.51safe19.54–27.385.48–12.6125.02–39.99safer18.44–28.484.52–13.5722.97–42.04
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction15.635.8321.46safe12.69–18.573.15–8.5115.84–27.08safer11.86–19.402.41–9.2514.27–28.65
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.232.748.97safe4.35–8.121.09–4.395.44–12.51safer3.81–8.660.59–4.884.40–13.54
Corners
92%
homeawaytotalprediction8.253.0511.29safe6.03–10.461.05–5.057.08–15.51safer5.46–11.030.51–5.585.97–16.61
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction60.7038.44safe53.91–67.4931.65–45.22safer52.24–69.1629.98–46.89
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction589371959safe521–656304–437825–1093safer503–674287–455790–1128
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction77.2468.76safe73.21–81.2764.43–73.08safer71.92–82.5663.12–74.39
Fouls
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction9.619.4819.09safe6.77–12.456.53–12.4213.31–24.87safer6.02–13.215.78–13.1711.80–26.37
Offsides
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.553.26safe0.55–2.870.46–2.641.00–5.51safer0.25–3.170.17–2.930.42–6.10
Yellow cards
22%
23%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.031.792.82safe0.00–2.080.66–2.920.64–5.00safer0.00–2.340.37–3.210.09–5.56
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.12safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.75
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.425.127.54safe0.98–3.853.56–6.684.54–10.53safer0.59–4.243.14–7.103.73–11.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.83 1.87–3.80 1.62–4.05 | 0.91 0.06–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 3.74 1.92–5.57 1.44–6.05 | 77% 14% |
| Shots on target | 8.23 6.37–10.09 5.88–10.58 | 3.33 1.59–5.08 1.12–5.54 | 11.56 7.96–15.17 7.00–16.12 | 91% |
| Total shots | 23.46 19.54–27.38 18.44–28.48 | 9.05 5.48–12.61 4.52–13.57 | 32.51 25.02–39.99 22.97–42.04 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 15.63 12.69–18.57 11.86–19.40 | 5.83 3.15–8.51 2.41–9.25 | 21.46 15.84–27.08 14.27–28.65 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 6.23 4.35–8.12 3.81–8.66 | 2.74 1.09–4.39 0.59–4.88 | 8.97 5.44–12.51 4.40–13.54 | 84% |
| Corners | 8.25 6.03–10.46 5.46–11.03 | 3.05 1.05–5.05 0.51–5.58 | 11.29 7.08–15.51 5.97–16.61 | 92% |
| Possession % | 60.70 53.91–67.49 52.24–69.16 | 38.44 31.65–45.22 29.98–46.89 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 589 521–656 503–674 | 371 304–437 287–455 | 959 825–1093 790–1128 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.24 73.21–81.27 71.92–82.56 | 68.76 64.43–73.08 63.12–74.39 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 9.61 6.77–12.45 6.02–13.21 | 9.48 6.53–12.42 5.78–13.17 | 19.09 13.31–24.87 11.80–26.37 | 47% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 1.55 0.46–2.64 0.17–2.93 | 3.26 1.00–5.51 0.42–6.10 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.03 0.00–2.08 0.00–2.34 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 2.82 0.64–5.00 0.09–5.56 | 22% 23% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.98–3.85 0.59–4.24 | 5.12 3.56–6.68 3.14–7.10 | 7.54 4.54–10.53 3.73–11.34 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+