Eredivisie·Regular Season - 16·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.342.98safe0.67–2.610.48–2.191.15–4.80safer0.42–2.860.25–2.420.67–5.28
Shots on target
59%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.904.6710.57safe4.04–7.762.93–6.416.96–14.17safer3.55–8.252.46–6.886.01–15.13
Total shots
57%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7714.2730.05safe11.85–19.7010.71–17.8422.56–37.53safer10.76–20.799.75–18.7920.51–39.59
Shots in box
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction10.219.5919.80safe7.27–13.156.91–12.2714.17–25.42safer6.44–13.986.17–13.0112.61–26.99
Blocked shots
49%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.163.687.83safe2.27–6.042.03–5.334.30–11.37safer1.73–6.581.53–5.823.26–12.41
Corners
57%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction6.105.0311.13safe3.89–8.323.03–7.036.92–15.35safer3.32–8.892.50–7.565.81–16.45
Possession %
47%
49%
homeawayprediction49.7250.10safe42.93–56.5143.32–56.89safer41.26–58.1841.64–58.56
Passes
51%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction438433871safe371–505366–499737–1004safer352–523349–517701–1040
Pass accuracy %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction67.3070.37safe63.27–71.3366.05–74.69safer61.98–72.6264.74–76.00
Fouls
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7712.5923.36safe7.93–13.619.65–15.5417.58–29.14safer7.18–14.368.90–16.2816.07–30.65
Offsides
40%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.583.25safe0.51–2.830.49–2.671.00–5.51safer0.21–3.140.20–2.960.41–6.10
Yellow cards
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.793.21safe0.37–2.470.66–2.921.03–5.39safer0.11–2.740.37–3.210.47–5.95
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
35%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.413.907.31safe1.97–4.842.34–5.464.31–10.30safer1.58–5.231.92–5.883.50–11.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.64 0.67–2.61 0.42–2.86 | 1.34 0.48–2.19 0.25–2.42 | 2.98 1.15–4.80 0.67–5.28 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.90 4.04–7.76 3.55–8.25 | 4.67 2.93–6.41 2.46–6.88 | 10.57 6.96–14.17 6.01–15.13 | 59% 30% |
| Total shots | 15.77 11.85–19.70 10.76–20.79 | 14.27 10.71–17.84 9.75–18.79 | 30.05 22.56–37.53 20.51–39.59 | 57% 36% |
| Shots in box | 10.21 7.27–13.15 6.44–13.98 | 9.59 6.91–12.27 6.17–13.01 | 19.80 14.17–25.42 12.61–26.99 | 51% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 4.16 2.27–6.04 1.73–6.58 | 3.68 2.03–5.33 1.53–5.82 | 7.83 4.30–11.37 3.26–12.41 | 49% 14% 36% |
| Corners | 6.10 3.89–8.32 3.32–8.89 | 5.03 3.03–7.03 2.50–7.56 | 11.13 6.92–15.35 5.81–16.45 | 57% 32% |
| Possession % | 49.72 42.93–56.51 41.26–58.18 | 50.10 43.32–56.89 41.64–58.56 | — | 47% 49% |
| Passes | 438 371–505 352–523 | 433 366–499 349–517 | 871 737–1004 701–1040 | 51% 48% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.30 63.27–71.33 61.98–72.62 | 70.37 66.05–74.69 64.74–76.00 | — | 32% 63% |
| Fouls | 10.77 7.93–13.61 7.18–14.36 | 12.59 9.65–15.54 8.90–16.28 | 23.36 17.58–29.14 16.07–30.65 | 32% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.14 | 1.58 0.49–2.67 0.20–2.96 | 3.25 1.00–5.51 0.41–6.10 | 40% 23% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.21 1.03–5.39 0.47–5.95 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.41 1.97–4.84 1.58–5.23 | 3.90 2.34–5.46 1.92–5.88 | 7.31 4.31–10.30 3.50–11.11 | 35% 15% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+