Eredivisie·Regular Season - 16·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
26%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.422.73safe0.34–2.270.57–2.280.90–4.55safer0.09–2.520.34–2.510.42–5.03
Shots on target
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.324.278.59safe2.46–6.182.53–6.014.98–12.19safer1.97–6.672.06–6.484.03–13.15
Total shots
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9413.9026.84safe9.02–16.8710.34–17.4719.36–34.33safer7.93–17.969.38–18.4317.31–36.38
Shots in box
34%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction8.129.3117.43safe5.18–11.066.63–11.9911.80–23.05safer4.35–11.895.89–12.7310.24–24.62
Blocked shots
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.834.137.95safe1.94–5.712.47–5.784.42–11.49safer1.40–6.251.98–6.273.38–12.52
Corners
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction5.155.3510.50safe2.93–7.363.35–7.356.28–14.71safer2.36–7.932.82–7.885.18–15.82
Possession %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction48.1651.24safe41.37–54.9544.45–58.02safer39.70–56.6242.78–59.70
Passes
47%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction427436864safe360–495370–503730–997safer342–513352–520694–1033
Pass accuracy %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction63.9670.20safe59.94–67.9965.87–74.52safer58.64–69.2964.56–75.83
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8112.2723.07safe7.97–13.649.32–15.2117.29–28.85safer7.21–14.408.57–15.9615.79–30.36
Offsides
49%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.242.97safe0.57–2.890.15–2.340.72–5.23safer0.27–3.190.00–2.620.13–5.82
Yellow cards
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.553.08safe0.48–2.580.42–2.680.90–5.26safer0.21–2.850.13–2.970.34–5.82
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
40%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.903.035.93safe1.47–4.341.47–4.582.93–8.92safer1.08–4.721.04–5.012.12–9.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.34–2.27 0.09–2.52 | 1.42 0.57–2.28 0.34–2.51 | 2.73 0.90–4.55 0.42–5.03 | 34% 26% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.32 2.46–6.18 1.97–6.67 | 4.27 2.53–6.01 2.06–6.48 | 8.59 4.98–12.19 4.03–13.15 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Total shots | 12.94 9.02–16.87 7.93–17.96 | 13.90 10.34–17.47 9.38–18.43 | 26.84 19.36–34.33 17.31–36.38 | 39% 54% |
| Shots in box | 8.12 5.18–11.06 4.35–11.89 | 9.31 6.63–11.99 5.89–12.73 | 17.43 11.80–23.05 10.24–24.62 | 34% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 3.83 1.94–5.71 1.40–6.25 | 4.13 2.47–5.78 1.98–6.27 | 7.95 4.42–11.49 3.38–12.52 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Corners | 5.15 2.93–7.36 2.36–7.93 | 5.35 3.35–7.35 2.82–7.88 | 10.50 6.28–14.71 5.18–15.82 | 41% 46% |
| Possession % | 48.16 41.37–54.95 39.70–56.62 | 51.24 44.45–58.02 42.78–59.70 | — | 40% 55% |
| Passes | 427 360–495 342–513 | 436 370–503 352–520 | 864 730–997 694–1033 | 47% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.96 59.94–67.99 58.64–69.29 | 70.20 65.87–74.52 64.56–75.83 | — | 19% 77% |
| Fouls | 10.81 7.97–13.64 7.21–14.40 | 12.27 9.32–15.21 8.57–15.96 | 23.07 17.29–28.85 15.79–30.36 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 1.24 0.15–2.34 0.00–2.62 | 2.97 0.72–5.23 0.13–5.82 | 49% 24% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.21–2.85 | 1.55 0.42–2.68 0.13–2.97 | 3.08 0.90–5.26 0.34–5.82 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.90 1.47–4.34 1.08–4.72 | 3.03 1.47–4.58 1.04–5.01 | 5.93 2.93–8.92 2.12–9.73 | 40% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+