Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
26%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.462.69safe0.26–2.200.60–2.310.87–4.51safer0.01–2.450.38–2.540.39–4.99
Shots on target
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.654.969.60safe2.78–6.513.22–6.706.00–13.21safer2.29–7.002.75–7.175.04–14.16
Total shots
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4013.7827.18safe9.47–17.3210.22–17.3419.69–34.66safer8.38–18.419.26–18.3017.64–36.71
Shots in box
44%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction8.898.9817.88safe5.95–11.836.30–11.6612.25–23.50safer5.12–12.665.57–12.4010.69–25.07
Blocked shots
37%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.724.117.83safe1.84–5.602.46–5.774.30–11.37safer1.29–6.151.97–6.263.26–12.40
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.965.2510.21safe2.74–7.173.25–7.256.00–14.42safer2.17–7.742.72–7.794.89–15.53
Possession %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction44.8955.13safe38.10–51.6848.35–61.92safer36.43–53.3546.68–63.59
Passes
24%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction369454823safe302–436387–520689–957safer284–454370–538654–992
Pass accuracy %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction65.0171.79safe60.98–69.0467.47–76.12safer59.68–70.3366.16–77.43
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5912.4425.03safe9.75–15.439.50–15.3919.25–30.81safer9.00–16.188.75–16.1417.75–32.32
Offsides
39%
25%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.442.92safe0.32–2.640.35–2.530.66–5.17safer0.02–2.940.06–2.820.07–5.76
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.093.99safe0.85–2.950.96–3.211.81–6.17safer0.59–3.220.67–3.511.25–6.73
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.243.076.31safe1.80–4.681.51–4.623.31–9.30safer1.42–5.061.08–5.052.50–10.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 1.46 0.60–2.31 0.38–2.54 | 2.69 0.87–4.51 0.39–4.99 | 32% 26% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.65 2.78–6.51 2.29–7.00 | 4.96 3.22–6.70 2.75–7.17 | 9.60 6.00–13.21 5.04–14.16 | 40% 47% |
| Total shots | 13.40 9.47–17.32 8.38–18.41 | 13.78 10.22–17.34 9.26–18.30 | 27.18 19.69–34.66 17.64–36.71 | 43% 49% |
| Shots in box | 8.89 5.95–11.83 5.12–12.66 | 8.98 6.30–11.66 5.57–12.40 | 17.88 12.25–23.50 10.69–25.07 | 44% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 3.72 1.84–5.60 1.29–6.15 | 4.11 2.46–5.77 1.97–6.26 | 7.83 4.30–11.37 3.26–12.40 | 37% 14% 48% |
| Corners | 4.96 2.74–7.17 2.17–7.74 | 5.25 3.25–7.25 2.72–7.79 | 10.21 6.00–14.42 4.89–15.53 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 44.89 38.10–51.68 36.43–53.35 | 55.13 48.35–61.92 46.68–63.59 | — | 25% 71% |
| Passes | 369 302–436 284–454 | 454 387–520 370–538 | 823 689–957 654–992 | 24% 76% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.01 60.98–69.04 59.68–70.33 | 71.79 67.47–76.12 66.16–77.43 | — | 17% 79% |
| Fouls | 12.59 9.75–15.43 9.00–16.18 | 12.44 9.50–15.39 8.75–16.14 | 25.03 19.25–30.81 17.75–32.32 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.02–2.94 | 1.44 0.35–2.53 0.06–2.82 | 2.92 0.66–5.17 0.07–5.76 | 39% 25% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.59–3.22 | 2.09 0.96–3.21 0.67–3.51 | 3.99 1.81–6.17 1.25–6.73 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.24 1.80–4.68 1.42–5.06 | 3.07 1.51–4.62 1.08–5.05 | 6.31 3.31–9.30 2.50–10.11 | 45% 16% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+