Eredivisie·Regular Season - 17·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
19%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.092.233.32safe0.12–2.061.37–3.081.49–5.14safer0.00–2.311.15–3.311.01–5.62
Shots on target
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.516.229.73safe1.65–5.384.48–7.966.13–13.34safer1.16–5.874.01–8.435.17–14.29
Total shots
14%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4016.5727.97safe7.47–15.3213.01–20.1420.49–35.46safer6.38–16.4212.05–21.1018.44–37.51
Shots in box
17%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction7.4811.1218.60safe4.54–10.428.44–13.8012.98–24.22safer3.71–11.257.70–14.5411.41–25.79
Blocked shots
20%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.984.757.73safe1.10–4.863.10–6.404.20–11.27safer0.56–5.412.61–6.903.16–12.30
Corners
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction4.296.1810.47safe2.08–6.514.17–8.186.26–14.68safer1.51–7.083.64–8.715.15–15.79
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction38.6561.46safe31.86–45.4454.68–68.25safer30.19–47.1153.01–69.92
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction358570928safe291–425503–636794–1061safer273–443486–654758–1097
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction64.8478.62safe60.81–68.8774.29–82.94safer59.52–70.1772.98–84.25
Fouls
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3110.6421.95safe8.47–14.147.70–13.5916.17–27.73safer7.71–14.906.95–14.3314.66–29.24
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.903.62safe0.55–2.870.81–2.991.36–5.87safer0.25–3.180.52–3.280.77–6.46
Yellow cards
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.723.29safe0.52–2.620.60–2.851.12–5.47safer0.26–2.890.30–3.140.56–6.03
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
64%
13%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.102.636.73safe2.67–5.541.07–4.183.74–9.72safer2.28–5.930.65–4.612.93–10.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.06 0.00–2.31 | 2.23 1.37–3.08 1.15–3.31 | 3.32 1.49–5.14 1.01–5.62 | 17% 19% 63% |
| Shots on target | 3.51 1.65–5.38 1.16–5.87 | 6.22 4.48–7.96 4.01–8.43 | 9.73 6.13–13.34 5.17–14.29 | 15% 76% |
| Total shots | 11.40 7.47–15.32 6.38–16.42 | 16.57 13.01–20.14 12.05–21.10 | 27.97 20.49–35.46 18.44–37.51 | 14% 81% |
| Shots in box | 7.48 4.54–10.42 3.71–11.25 | 11.12 8.44–13.80 7.70–14.54 | 18.60 12.98–24.22 11.41–25.79 | 17% 77% |
| Blocked shots | 2.98 1.10–4.86 0.56–5.41 | 4.75 3.10–6.40 2.61–6.90 | 7.73 4.20–11.27 3.16–12.30 | 20% 68% |
| Corners | 4.29 2.08–6.51 1.51–7.08 | 6.18 4.17–8.18 3.64–8.71 | 10.47 6.26–14.68 5.15–15.79 | 23% 66% |
| Possession % | 38.65 31.86–45.44 30.19–47.11 | 61.46 54.68–68.25 53.01–69.92 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 358 291–425 273–443 | 570 503–636 486–654 | 928 794–1061 758–1097 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.84 60.81–68.87 59.52–70.17 | 78.62 74.29–82.94 72.98–84.25 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 11.31 8.47–14.14 7.71–14.90 | 10.64 7.70–13.59 6.95–14.33 | 21.95 16.17–27.73 14.66–29.24 | 51% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.18 | 1.90 0.81–2.99 0.52–3.28 | 3.62 1.36–5.87 0.77–6.46 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 1.72 0.60–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.29 1.12–5.47 0.56–6.03 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 4.10 2.67–5.54 2.28–5.93 | 2.63 1.07–4.18 0.65–4.61 | 6.73 3.74–9.72 2.93–10.53 | 64% 13% 22% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.