Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.433.32safe0.93–2.860.57–2.281.50–5.14safer0.68–3.120.34–2.511.02–5.62
Shots on target
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.584.7210.31safe3.72–7.452.98–6.476.70–13.91safer3.23–7.942.51–6.935.75–14.87
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9412.3928.34safe12.02–19.878.83–15.9620.85–35.83safer10.93–20.967.87–16.9218.80–37.88
Shots in box
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction10.778.0118.78safe7.83–13.715.33–10.6913.15–24.40safer7.00–14.544.59–11.4211.59–25.97
Blocked shots
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.183.727.91safe2.30–6.062.07–5.384.37–11.44safer1.76–6.611.58–5.873.33–12.48
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.654.6510.30safe3.44–7.872.65–6.656.08–14.51safer2.87–8.442.11–7.184.98–15.62
Possession %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction53.3347.27safe46.54–60.1240.49–54.06safer44.87–61.7938.82–55.73
Passes
67%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction500446945safe433–567379–512812–1079safer414–585362–530776–1115
Pass accuracy %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction69.5173.06safe65.48–73.5468.73–77.38safer64.19–74.8367.42–78.69
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction9.5711.1020.67safe6.73–12.418.16–14.0514.89–26.45safer5.97–13.167.41–14.8013.39–27.96
Offsides
51%
21%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.493.53safe0.89–3.210.39–2.581.28–5.79safer0.58–3.510.11–2.870.69–6.38
Yellow cards
33%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.693.15safe0.41–2.510.56–2.820.97–5.33safer0.15–2.780.27–3.110.42–5.89
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.173.376.54safe1.73–4.611.81–4.933.55–9.53safer1.35–4.991.39–5.352.74–10.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.90 0.93–2.86 0.68–3.12 | 1.43 0.57–2.28 0.34–2.51 | 3.32 1.50–5.14 1.02–5.62 | 49% 22% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.58 3.72–7.45 3.23–7.94 | 4.72 2.98–6.47 2.51–6.93 | 10.31 6.70–13.91 5.75–14.87 | 54% 33% |
| Total shots | 15.94 12.02–19.87 10.93–20.96 | 12.39 8.83–15.96 7.87–16.92 | 28.34 20.85–35.83 18.80–37.88 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 10.77 7.83–13.71 7.00–14.54 | 8.01 5.33–10.69 4.59–11.42 | 18.78 13.15–24.40 11.59–25.97 | 70% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.18 2.30–6.06 1.76–6.61 | 3.72 2.07–5.38 1.58–5.87 | 7.91 4.37–11.44 3.33–12.48 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Corners | 5.65 3.44–7.87 2.87–8.44 | 4.65 2.65–6.65 2.11–7.18 | 10.30 6.08–14.51 4.98–15.62 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 53.33 46.54–60.12 44.87–61.79 | 47.27 40.49–54.06 38.82–55.73 | — | 62% 34% |
| Passes | 500 433–567 414–585 | 446 379–512 362–530 | 945 812–1079 776–1115 | 67% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.51 65.48–73.54 64.19–74.83 | 73.06 68.73–77.38 67.42–78.69 | — | 30% 65% |
| Fouls | 9.57 6.73–12.41 5.97–13.16 | 11.10 8.16–14.05 7.41–14.80 | 20.67 14.89–26.45 13.39–27.96 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 2.05 0.89–3.21 0.58–3.51 | 1.49 0.39–2.58 0.11–2.87 | 3.53 1.28–5.79 0.69–6.38 | 51% 21% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.46 0.41–2.51 0.15–2.78 | 1.69 0.56–2.82 0.27–3.11 | 3.15 0.97–5.33 0.42–5.89 | 33% 23% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.17 1.73–4.61 1.35–4.99 | 3.37 1.81–4.93 1.39–5.35 | 6.54 3.55–9.53 2.74–10.34 | 39% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.