Eredivisie·Regular Season - 17·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.893.15safe0.29–2.231.04–2.751.33–4.97safer0.04–2.480.81–2.970.85–5.45
Shots on target
23%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction4.045.899.93safe2.17–5.904.15–7.636.32–13.53safer1.68–6.393.68–8.105.37–14.49
Total shots
15%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2716.2627.53safe7.35–15.2012.70–19.8220.04–35.02safer6.26–16.2911.74–20.7817.99–37.07
Shots in box
18%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction7.4410.7518.18safe4.49–10.388.07–13.4312.56–23.81safer3.66–11.217.33–14.1710.99–25.37
Blocked shots
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.245.298.53safe1.35–5.123.64–6.944.99–12.06safer0.81–5.663.14–7.433.96–13.10
Corners
28%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.315.679.98safe2.10–6.533.67–7.675.77–14.20safer1.53–7.103.14–8.204.66–15.30
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction40.0360.06safe33.24–46.8253.27–66.84safer31.57–48.4951.60–68.51
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction386597983safe319–454530–663849–1117safer301–472513–681814–1152
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction66.3880.01safe62.35–70.4175.68–84.33safer61.06–71.7074.37–85.64
Fouls
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6310.0319.66safe6.79–12.467.09–12.9813.88–25.44safer6.03–13.226.34–13.7312.38–26.95
Offsides
48%
22%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.513.47safe0.80–3.120.41–2.601.21–5.72safer0.50–3.420.13–2.890.62–6.31
Yellow cards
35%
26%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.422.73safe0.26–2.360.29–2.550.55–4.91safer0.00–2.620.00–2.840.00–5.46
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.060.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.250.00–0.48safer0.00–0.380.00–0.380.00–0.77
GK saves
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.982.896.88safe2.55–5.421.34–4.453.88–9.87safer2.16–5.810.91–4.873.07–10.68
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.23 0.04–2.48 | 1.89 1.04–2.75 0.81–2.97 | 3.15 1.33–4.97 0.85–5.45 | 25% 22% 52% |
| Shots on target | 4.04 2.17–5.90 1.68–6.39 | 5.89 4.15–7.63 3.68–8.10 | 9.93 6.32–13.53 5.37–14.49 | 23% 67% |
| Total shots | 11.27 7.35–15.20 6.26–16.29 | 16.26 12.70–19.82 11.74–20.78 | 27.53 20.04–35.02 17.99–37.07 | 15% 80% |
| Shots in box | 7.44 4.49–10.38 3.66–11.21 | 10.75 8.07–13.43 7.33–14.17 | 18.18 12.56–23.81 10.99–25.37 | 18% 75% |
| Blocked shots | 3.24 1.35–5.12 0.81–5.66 | 5.29 3.64–6.94 3.14–7.43 | 8.53 4.99–12.06 3.96–13.10 | 19% 70% |
| Corners | 4.31 2.10–6.53 1.53–7.10 | 5.67 3.67–7.67 3.14–8.20 | 9.98 5.77–14.20 4.66–15.30 | 28% 61% |
| Possession % | 40.03 33.24–46.82 31.57–48.49 | 60.06 53.27–66.84 51.60–68.51 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 386 319–454 301–472 | 597 530–663 513–681 | 983 849–1117 814–1152 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.38 62.35–70.41 61.06–71.70 | 80.01 75.68–84.33 74.37–85.64 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 9.63 6.79–12.46 6.03–13.22 | 10.03 7.09–12.98 6.34–13.73 | 19.66 13.88–25.44 12.38–26.95 | 42% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.96 0.80–3.12 0.50–3.42 | 1.51 0.41–2.60 0.13–2.89 | 3.47 1.21–5.72 0.62–6.31 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.31 0.26–2.36 0.00–2.62 | 1.42 0.29–2.55 0.00–2.84 | 2.73 0.55–4.91 0.00–5.46 | 35% 26% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.98 2.55–5.42 2.16–5.81 | 2.89 1.34–4.45 0.91–4.87 | 6.88 3.88–9.87 3.07–10.68 | 59% 14% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.