Eredivisie·Regular Season - 17·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.132.83safe0.73–2.670.28–1.991.01–4.65safer0.48–2.920.05–2.210.53–5.13
Shots on target
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.493.799.28safe3.63–7.352.04–5.535.67–12.88safer3.14–7.841.58–6.004.72–13.84
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9011.5227.42safe11.97–19.827.96–15.0919.94–34.91safer10.88–20.927.00–16.0517.89–36.96
Shots in box
68%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.567.1116.68safe6.62–12.514.43–9.8011.06–22.30safer5.79–13.343.70–10.539.49–23.87
Blocked shots
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.063.177.23safe2.18–5.941.52–4.833.70–10.77safer1.63–6.481.03–5.322.66–11.80
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.773.949.71safe3.55–7.981.94–5.945.49–13.92safer2.98–8.551.41–6.474.39–15.03
Possession %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction53.9745.82safe47.18–60.7639.04–52.61safer45.51–62.4337.37–54.28
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction484392875safe416–551325–458742–1009safer398–569308–476706–1045
Pass accuracy %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction70.0969.17safe66.06–74.1264.84–73.49safer64.77–75.4163.54–74.80
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5713.1524.73safe8.74–14.4110.21–16.1018.95–30.51safer7.98–15.179.46–16.8517.44–32.02
Offsides
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.773.55safe0.62–2.940.67–2.861.29–5.80safer0.32–3.240.39–3.150.70–6.39
Yellow cards
29%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.243.90safe0.61–2.711.11–3.371.72–6.08safer0.35–2.980.82–3.661.16–6.63
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
26%
14%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.813.966.77safe1.37–4.242.41–5.523.78–9.76safer0.98–4.631.98–5.942.97–10.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.70 0.73–2.67 0.48–2.92 | 1.13 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.21 | 2.83 1.01–4.65 0.53–5.13 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.49 3.63–7.35 3.14–7.84 | 3.79 2.04–5.53 1.58–6.00 | 9.28 5.67–12.88 4.72–13.84 | 65% 23% |
| Total shots | 15.90 11.97–19.82 10.88–20.92 | 11.52 7.96–15.09 7.00–16.05 | 27.42 19.94–34.91 17.89–36.96 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.56 6.62–12.51 5.79–13.34 | 7.11 4.43–9.80 3.70–10.53 | 16.68 11.06–22.30 9.49–23.87 | 68% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.06 2.18–5.94 1.63–6.48 | 3.17 1.52–4.83 1.03–5.32 | 7.23 3.70–10.77 2.66–11.80 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 5.77 3.55–7.98 2.98–8.55 | 3.94 1.94–5.94 1.41–6.47 | 9.71 5.49–13.92 4.39–15.03 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 53.97 47.18–60.76 45.51–62.43 | 45.82 39.04–52.61 37.37–54.28 | — | 66% 29% |
| Passes | 484 416–551 398–569 | 392 325–458 308–476 | 875 742–1009 706–1045 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.09 66.06–74.12 64.77–75.41 | 69.17 64.84–73.49 63.54–74.80 | — | 52% 43% |
| Fouls | 11.57 8.74–14.41 7.98–15.17 | 13.15 10.21–16.10 9.46–16.85 | 24.73 18.95–30.51 17.44–32.02 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 1.77 0.67–2.86 0.39–3.15 | 3.55 1.29–5.80 0.70–6.39 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.35–2.98 | 2.24 1.11–3.37 0.82–3.66 | 3.90 1.72–6.08 1.16–6.63 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.81 1.37–4.24 0.98–4.63 | 3.96 2.41–5.52 1.98–5.94 | 6.77 3.78–9.76 2.97–10.58 | 26% 14% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.