Eredivisie·Regular Season - 17·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
86%
homeawaytotalprediction3.260.693.95safe2.30–4.230.00–1.542.13–5.78safer2.04–4.480.00–1.771.65–6.25
Shots on target
96%
homeawaytotalprediction8.622.6011.23safe6.76–10.490.86–4.357.62–14.83safer6.27–10.970.40–4.816.67–15.79
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction22.937.2630.19safe19.01–26.863.70–10.8222.70–37.68safer17.92–27.952.74–11.7820.65–39.73
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction15.274.8320.10safe12.33–18.212.15–7.5114.47–25.72safer11.50–19.041.41–8.2412.91–27.29
Blocked shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction6.461.908.36safe4.58–8.350.24–3.554.82–11.89safer4.04–8.890.00–4.043.79–12.93
Corners
96%
homeawaytotalprediction9.132.7411.87safe6.92–11.340.74–4.747.65–16.08safer6.34–11.920.21–5.276.55–17.19
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction69.5130.14safe62.72–76.3023.36–36.93safer61.05–77.9721.69–38.60
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction677293970safe610–744226–359836–1103safer591–762209–377800–1139
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction81.4966.07safe77.46–85.5261.75–70.40safer76.17–86.8260.44–71.70
Fouls
42%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction9.389.7219.11safe6.55–12.226.78–12.6713.32–24.89safer5.79–12.986.03–13.4111.82–26.39
Offsides
47%
25%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.152.72safe0.41–2.730.06–2.250.46–4.97safer0.10–3.030.00–2.530.00–5.56
Yellow cards
16%
21%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction0.882.022.90safe0.00–1.930.89–3.150.72–5.08safer0.00–2.200.60–3.440.17–5.64
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.080.12safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.400.00–0.75
GK saves
86%
homeawaytotalprediction1.945.347.28safe0.50–3.373.78–6.904.29–10.27safer0.11–3.763.36–7.323.47–11.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.26 2.30–4.23 2.04–4.48 | 0.69 0.00–1.54 0.00–1.77 | 3.95 2.13–5.78 1.65–6.25 | 86% |
| Shots on target | 8.62 6.76–10.49 6.27–10.97 | 2.60 0.86–4.35 0.40–4.81 | 11.23 7.62–14.83 6.67–15.79 | 96% |
| Total shots | 22.93 19.01–26.86 17.92–27.95 | 7.26 3.70–10.82 2.74–11.78 | 30.19 22.70–37.68 20.65–39.73 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 15.27 12.33–18.21 11.50–19.04 | 4.83 2.15–7.51 1.41–8.24 | 20.10 14.47–25.72 12.91–27.29 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 6.46 4.58–8.35 4.04–8.89 | 1.90 0.24–3.55 0.00–4.04 | 8.36 4.82–11.89 3.79–12.93 | 93% |
| Corners | 9.13 6.92–11.34 6.34–11.92 | 2.74 0.74–4.74 0.21–5.27 | 11.87 7.65–16.08 6.55–17.19 | 96% |
| Possession % | 69.51 62.72–76.30 61.05–77.97 | 30.14 23.36–36.93 21.69–38.60 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 677 610–744 591–762 | 293 226–359 209–377 | 970 836–1103 800–1139 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.49 77.46–85.52 76.17–86.82 | 66.07 61.75–70.40 60.44–71.70 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 9.38 6.55–12.22 5.79–12.98 | 9.72 6.78–12.67 6.03–13.41 | 19.11 13.32–24.89 11.82–26.39 | 42% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.10–3.03 | 1.15 0.06–2.25 0.00–2.53 | 2.72 0.46–4.97 0.00–5.56 | 47% 25% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 0.88 0.00–1.93 0.00–2.20 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 2.90 0.72–5.08 0.17–5.64 | 16% 21% 64% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 1.94 0.50–3.37 0.11–3.76 | 5.34 3.78–6.90 3.36–7.32 | 7.28 4.29–10.27 3.47–11.08 | 86% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.