Eredivisie·Regular Season - 17·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
25%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.562.88safe0.35–2.290.71–2.421.06–4.70safer0.10–2.540.48–2.650.58–5.18
Shots on target
35%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.375.039.40safe2.51–6.243.29–6.775.80–13.01safer2.02–6.732.82–7.244.84–13.96
Total shots
49%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9413.6027.54safe10.02–17.8710.03–17.1620.05–35.03safer8.93–18.969.07–18.1218.00–37.08
Shots in box
45%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction9.009.0018.00safe6.06–11.946.32–11.6812.38–23.63safer5.23–12.775.59–12.4210.81–25.19
Blocked shots
45%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.913.767.67safe2.03–5.792.11–5.414.13–11.20safer1.48–6.341.61–5.903.10–12.24
Corners
36%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.925.5610.48safe2.71–7.133.56–7.566.27–14.70safer2.13–7.713.03–8.105.16–15.80
Possession %
41%
55%
homeawayprediction48.6351.62safe41.84–55.4244.84–58.41safer40.17–57.0943.17–60.08
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction420443862safe352–487377–509729–996safer334–505359–527693–1032
Pass accuracy %
34%
62%
homeawayprediction70.0272.82safe65.99–74.0568.49–77.14safer64.70–75.3467.18–78.45
Fouls
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1611.1022.27safe8.33–14.008.16–14.0516.48–28.05safer7.57–14.767.41–14.8014.98–29.55
Offsides
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.523.22safe0.53–2.850.43–2.620.96–5.47safer0.23–3.150.14–2.910.37–6.06
Yellow cards
35%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.793.38safe0.54–2.640.66–2.921.20–5.56safer0.27–2.910.37–3.210.64–6.11
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.373.166.52safe1.93–4.801.60–4.713.53–9.52safer1.54–5.191.18–5.142.72–10.33
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.56 0.71–2.42 0.48–2.65 | 2.88 1.06–4.70 0.58–5.18 | 32% 25% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.37 2.51–6.24 2.02–6.73 | 5.03 3.29–6.77 2.82–7.24 | 9.40 5.80–13.01 4.84–13.96 | 35% 52% |
| Total shots | 13.94 10.02–17.87 8.93–18.96 | 13.60 10.03–17.16 9.07–18.12 | 27.54 20.05–35.03 18.00–37.08 | 49% 44% |
| Shots in box | 9.00 6.06–11.94 5.23–12.77 | 9.00 6.32–11.68 5.59–12.42 | 18.00 12.38–23.63 10.81–25.19 | 45% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.91 2.03–5.79 1.48–6.34 | 3.76 2.11–5.41 1.61–5.90 | 7.67 4.13–11.20 3.10–12.24 | 45% 15% 41% |
| Corners | 4.92 2.71–7.13 2.13–7.71 | 5.56 3.56–7.56 3.03–8.10 | 10.48 6.27–14.70 5.16–15.80 | 36% 52% |
| Possession % | 48.63 41.84–55.42 40.17–57.09 | 51.62 44.84–58.41 43.17–60.08 | — | 41% 55% |
| Passes | 420 352–487 334–505 | 443 377–509 359–527 | 862 729–996 693–1032 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.02 65.99–74.05 64.70–75.34 | 72.82 68.49–77.14 67.18–78.45 | — | 34% 62% |
| Fouls | 11.16 8.33–14.00 7.57–14.76 | 11.10 8.16–14.05 7.41–14.80 | 22.27 16.48–28.05 14.98–29.55 | 46% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 1.52 0.43–2.62 0.14–2.91 | 3.22 0.96–5.47 0.37–6.06 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.27–2.91 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.38 1.20–5.56 0.64–6.11 | 35% 23% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.37 1.93–4.80 1.54–5.19 | 3.16 1.60–4.71 1.18–5.14 | 6.52 3.53–9.52 2.72–10.33 | 45% 16% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.