Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
26%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.232.59safe0.40–2.340.37–2.080.77–4.42safer0.15–2.590.14–2.310.29–4.89
Shots on target
52%
13%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.884.259.13safe3.01–6.742.51–5.995.52–12.73safer2.52–7.232.04–6.464.57–13.69
Total shots
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6712.4728.14safe11.74–19.598.90–16.0320.65–35.62safer10.65–20.697.95–16.9918.60–37.67
Shots in box
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction10.197.4617.65safe7.25–13.144.78–10.1412.03–23.27safer6.42–13.974.04–10.8810.46–24.84
Blocked shots
58%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.103.077.17safe2.22–5.981.41–4.723.63–10.70safer1.68–6.530.92–5.212.60–11.74
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.674.8410.51safe3.46–7.892.84–6.846.30–14.73safer2.89–8.462.31–7.375.19–15.83
Possession %
47%
49%
homeawayprediction50.0750.54safe43.28–56.8643.75–57.32safer41.61–58.5342.08–58.99
Passes
57%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction434414848safe367–502347–480714–982safer349–520330–498679–1017
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction67.8770.15safe63.84–71.9065.83–74.48safer62.55–73.1964.52–75.78
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5912.2822.87safe7.76–13.439.33–15.2217.09–28.66safer7.00–14.198.59–15.9715.59–30.16
Offsides
45%
25%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.222.76safe0.38–2.700.13–2.310.51–5.02safer0.08–3.000.00–2.600.00–5.61
Yellow cards
30%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.783.18safe0.35–2.450.65–2.901.00–5.35safer0.08–2.720.36–3.200.44–5.91
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.213.496.69safe1.77–4.641.93–5.043.70–9.69safer1.38–5.031.51–5.472.89–10.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 1.23 0.37–2.08 0.14–2.31 | 2.59 0.77–4.42 0.29–4.89 | 40% 26% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.88 3.01–6.74 2.52–7.23 | 4.25 2.51–5.99 2.04–6.46 | 9.13 5.52–12.73 4.57–13.69 | 52% 13% 35% |
| Total shots | 15.67 11.74–19.59 10.65–20.69 | 12.47 8.90–16.03 7.95–16.99 | 28.14 20.65–35.62 18.60–37.67 | 69% 24% |
| Shots in box | 10.19 7.25–13.14 6.42–13.97 | 7.46 4.78–10.14 4.04–10.88 | 17.65 12.03–23.27 10.46–24.84 | 70% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.10 2.22–5.98 1.68–6.53 | 3.07 1.41–4.72 0.92–5.21 | 7.17 3.63–10.70 2.60–11.74 | 58% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 5.67 3.46–7.89 2.89–8.46 | 4.84 2.84–6.84 2.31–7.37 | 10.51 6.30–14.73 5.19–15.83 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 50.07 43.28–56.86 41.61–58.53 | 50.54 43.75–57.32 42.08–58.99 | — | 47% 49% |
| Passes | 434 367–502 349–520 | 414 347–480 330–498 | 848 714–982 679–1017 | 57% 43% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.87 63.84–71.90 62.55–73.19 | 70.15 65.83–74.48 64.52–75.78 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 10.59 7.76–13.43 7.00–14.19 | 12.28 9.33–15.22 8.59–15.97 | 22.87 17.09–28.66 15.59–30.16 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 1.22 0.13–2.31 0.00–2.60 | 2.76 0.51–5.02 0.00–5.61 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.40 0.35–2.45 0.08–2.72 | 1.78 0.65–2.90 0.36–3.20 | 3.18 1.00–5.35 0.44–5.91 | 30% 23% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.21 1.77–4.64 1.38–5.03 | 3.49 1.93–5.04 1.51–5.47 | 6.69 3.70–9.69 2.89–10.50 | 38% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.