Eredivisie·Regular Season - 17·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.733.03safe0.34–2.270.88–2.581.21–4.86safer0.09–2.520.65–2.810.73–5.34
Shots on target
26%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction4.536.0810.61safe2.66–6.394.34–7.837.01–14.22safer2.17–6.883.88–8.296.05–15.17
Total shots
27%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9616.8830.84safe10.04–17.8913.31–20.4423.35–38.33safer8.95–18.9812.36–21.4021.30–40.38
Shots in box
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2611.0920.35safe6.32–12.208.41–13.7714.73–25.97safer5.49–13.037.67–14.5113.16–27.54
Blocked shots
29%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.764.868.62safe1.87–5.643.21–6.515.08–12.15safer1.33–6.182.71–7.014.05–13.19
Corners
26%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction4.806.3911.18safe2.58–7.014.39–8.396.97–15.40safer2.01–7.583.85–8.925.86–16.50
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction41.8457.95safe35.05–48.6351.16–64.73safer33.38–50.3049.49–66.40
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction394515910safe327–462449–582776–1043safer309–480431–599740–1079
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction65.7476.74safe61.71–69.7772.42–81.07safer60.42–71.0771.11–82.38
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0710.8322.91safe9.23–14.917.89–13.7817.12–28.69safer8.48–15.677.14–14.5315.62–30.19
Offsides
51%
24%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.172.91safe0.58–2.900.07–2.260.65–5.16safer0.28–3.200.00–2.550.06–5.75
Yellow cards
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.573.10safe0.48–2.580.44–2.700.92–5.27safer0.21–2.840.15–2.990.36–5.83
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.163.157.31safe2.73–5.601.59–4.704.32–10.30safer2.34–5.991.17–5.133.51–11.12
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.34–2.27 0.09–2.52 | 1.73 0.88–2.58 0.65–2.81 | 3.03 1.21–4.86 0.73–5.34 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.53 2.66–6.39 2.17–6.88 | 6.08 4.34–7.83 3.88–8.29 | 10.61 7.01–14.22 6.05–15.17 | 26% 63% |
| Total shots | 13.96 10.04–17.89 8.95–18.98 | 16.88 13.31–20.44 12.36–21.40 | 30.84 23.35–38.33 21.30–40.38 | 27% 67% |
| Shots in box | 9.26 6.32–12.20 5.49–13.03 | 11.09 8.41–13.77 7.67–14.51 | 20.35 14.73–25.97 13.16–27.54 | 30% 62% |
| Blocked shots | 3.76 1.87–5.64 1.33–6.18 | 4.86 3.21–6.51 2.71–7.01 | 8.62 5.08–12.15 4.05–13.19 | 29% 58% |
| Corners | 4.80 2.58–7.01 2.01–7.58 | 6.39 4.39–8.39 3.85–8.92 | 11.18 6.97–15.40 5.86–16.50 | 26% 63% |
| Possession % | 41.84 35.05–48.63 33.38–50.30 | 57.95 51.16–64.73 49.49–66.40 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 394 327–462 309–480 | 515 449–582 431–599 | 910 776–1043 740–1079 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.74 61.71–69.77 60.42–71.07 | 76.74 72.42–81.07 71.11–82.38 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 12.07 9.23–14.91 8.48–15.67 | 10.83 7.89–13.78 7.14–14.53 | 22.91 17.12–28.69 15.62–30.19 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.17 0.07–2.26 0.00–2.55 | 2.91 0.65–5.16 0.06–5.75 | 51% 24% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.21–2.84 | 1.57 0.44–2.70 0.15–2.99 | 3.10 0.92–5.27 0.36–5.83 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 4.16 2.73–5.60 2.34–5.99 | 3.15 1.59–4.70 1.17–5.13 | 7.31 4.32–10.30 3.51–11.12 | 57% 14% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.